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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 11, 2025 22:54
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4191-4164

Mark Price

4219.58

Actual Price

4224.07

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI indicator is very low (RSI14 only 26.619), indicating clear overselling and short-term bearish momentum.
  • MACD remains negative (dif -18.59, dea -13.71, macd -9.75), confirming a weak bearish trend.
  • Bollinger percent_b is only 0.26, with the price near the lower band, making it susceptible to penetrating support levels.
  • Candlestick patterns have broken below most short-cycle moving averages (MA5=4211.47, current price below MA10/20/50), indicating a weak, downward arrangement.
  • DMI indicator shows dmi_minus significantly higher than dmi_plus, and the high ADX at 35 signifies a strong bearish trend.
  • While large holder positions are relatively high (3.4073), the account count ratio is low (0.9168), suggesting the market's main force maintains an unstable bullish structure.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is only 1.1038, with no strong capital inflow evident, increasing the likelihood of continued pressure.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current 15-minute period, all technical indicators are predominantly bearish: MACD has a dead cross, downward momentum persists, and the moving average system is fully inverted, with no signs of a trend reversal. The RSI across the entire cycle is near or below the 30 level, indicating a clear oversold condition in the short term. Although a rebound risk exists, the trend has not shown signs of reversal. In the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, the price has not shown a significant rebound; with the percent_b only 0.26, the price is approaching the bottom of the Bollinger Bands, still possibly testing support levels S1 (4191) and S2 (4164). While the KDJ J line is slightly above K and D, suggesting a potential short-term pullback ability, the overall structure remains weak. DMI shows high ADX with negative (+) and (-) directions dominated by bears, indicating the current bearish trend has momentum to continue. Capital flow and active trading sentiment are relatively subdued. Although large account holdings are relatively high, the number of accounts and the overall long-short ratio in the market do not support a substantial upward movement, implying that the main players have yet to form a unified bullish pattern. Trading volume has not shown obvious expansion, indicating short-term rebound is likely to remain limited. It is predicted that there is a probability of support testing within the next 15 minutes, targeting the range 4191-4164 (S1-S2). If the price falls below 4164, support at S3 (4160) will be tested. Without unexpected capital inflows, short-term long chasing is not recommended; aggressive traders may follow the short side with light positions, while observing for signs of a trend bottom.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(37.0668) rsi12(35.4251) rsi14(26.619)
  • MACD:dif(-18.5905) dea(-13.7172) macd(-9.7466)
  • MA:ma5(4211.47) ma10(4211.47) ma20(4251.1)
  • Boll:up(4317.36) mid(4251.1) down(4184.84)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7287846.984 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.31%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9168
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 11, 2025 22:54

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2491

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.