Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT has formed a clear downward structure in the past few hours, with MACD entering a strong death cross zone (DIF significantly downward). The weekly moving averages are arranged in a bearish order, and the price has broken below all key moving averages, indicating that the bulls’ defense line has been completely lost and the bears are clearly dominant. Currently, the lower band of the Bollinger Bands is only about 10 points away, with %B in the negative zone. Coupled with the very weak performance of MACD and DMI, a quick rebound is unlikely in the short term. The market is more likely to continue testing lower support zones. RSI is oversold but shows no signs of stabilization, and the short-term bottom has not been fully confirmed. Although large traders' positions are overall bullish, the ratio of long to short accounts is 0.921, only slightly below the average, indicating significant market divergence. Major traders may be hedging, but the short-term market trend is bearish. The active buy/sell ratio is 1.05, suggesting that bears have not completely suppressed the bulls, but the overall trend remains downward. Volume activity is generally high but without obvious increase, implying that, although bears are the main force, a volume explosion has not yet occurred. However, decreased amplitude and low volatility also confirm that the bulls lack sufficient momentum for a rebound. Short-term support zones are mainly concentrated around 4161-4160. If broken, a further decline towards S3 at 4073 is possible. The short-term trend is mainly oscillating downward with a low probability of rebound. The target range is recommended to be locked at 4160-4190, paying attention to whether price stabilizes at support levels. Trading advice: Focus on short-term shorts. If approaching the 4160 support zone, closely monitor for signs of stabilization. Consider reducing short positions or engaging in short-term rebounds. If support is broken, do not hesitate to exit; for short positions, set a stop loss at 4205. Take profit within the 4070-4160 range, watching for potential stabilization at support levels. Given the extremely strong bearish signals from various indicators, short-term traders are advised to stay within risk limits and avoid overly aggressive long positions unless a clear stabilization is observed. Follow the trend carefully, monitor support levels, and remain alert to sudden market shifts and sentiment reversals.