Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

During the 15-minute timeframe, the ETHUSDT price has fallen from the recent high, with a clear Bollinger Band lower breakdown signal, and the price remains close to the lower band. The bandwidth is narrow, and the lower band is continuously being tested, reflecting a weak market trend. All short-term RSI indicators (minimum RSI6 at only 8.7) are in an extremely oversold zone with no significant reversal signs, which generally indicates further inertia-driven declines. It should be noted that while extremely low RSI values suggest potential for a rebound due to overselling, in a weak technical environment, cautious bottom fishing is not recommended. The MACD shows a dead cross, and the bearish momentum bars have further enlarged, with no significant decrease in volume or weakening. The probability of short-term inertia-driven downward movement exceeds immediate rebounds. Although the KDJ indicator is in a neutral slightly lower zone between 40-50, no turning point is observed, and the J value has not yet crossed the K/D lines, indicating no clear reversal signal. The DMI shows a very strong directional bias, with +DI significantly less than -DI, and ADX exceeding 30, which is typical of a strong downward trend. The active buy-sell ratio in the capital flow indicates a lack of on-exchange buying pressure. Despite large institutional long positions being higher than short positions, the number of accounts is slightly lower, and the main traders are not actively involved in defending the price. Trading volume remains at a relatively average level compared to previous periods, with no abnormal volume contractions or surges, indicating persistent market bearish sentiment. In summary, the short-term outlook suggests inertia-driven break below the Bollinger lower band toward a target zone of 4200–4240. If the price breaks below 4200, support levels could directly target around 4160 or lower. After a significant drop, only if a sharp volume decline occurs alongside RSI bullish divergence would a light rebound be considered. The dominant tone remains short-negative, and a quick rebound is not recommended.