Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 83%
Target Price
4180-4240
Mark Price
4243.6
Actual Price
4230.62
Prediction Result
Currently, ETHUSDT on the 15-minute timeframe, from a Bollinger Bands perspective, is close to the lower band with no effective rebound observed, indicating a short-term downtrend. The Bollinger Band width has narrowed, and the amplitude (0.902) is relatively low, suggesting the market may accumulate energy before a downward break. MACD across multiple periods remains negative, indicating a dominant bearish trend, with little short-term rebound momentum. RSI across various periods is severely oversold, which could trigger a rebound at any time, but technically, a bottoming out process usually must occur first; a bullish reversal structure has not yet formed. The moving averages display a classic bearish alignment, especially with MA10, MA20, and MA50 above the current price, presenting clear overhead resistance. Although KDJ is not in an extreme oversold condition, the K, D, and J lines show no signs of turning up, indicating the weak market structure persists. DMI shows bearish momentum dominating, with the ADX at a relatively high level. Once a downtrend forms, it tends to persist for a longer duration. Caution is advised against blindly chasing shorts, and bottom-fishing is also not recommended at this stage. From a capital perspective, large accounts have long positions, but the number of accounts is slightly bearish, possibly indicating left-side accumulation or hedging. Active buy-sell ratios are somewhat bullish, reflecting active low-price bidding, but overall, bullish consensus has yet to establish. Short-term support lies in the 4240-4180 range; breaching it could easily trigger a cascade effect, with strong support at 4160. Resistance levels are at approximately 4257 and 4284. It is expected that the 15-minute price will predominantly remain in a weak, declining state, with downward pressure prevailing. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see stance or lightly short the market, and only consider long positions after a divergence appears in the 15-minute MACD or RSI. Take profits near 4180; if a rebound occurs, monitor resistance around 4250.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 11, 2025 10:52
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2459
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.