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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 11, 2025 10:52
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

4180-4240

Mark Price

4243.6

Actual Price

4230.62

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %b value is -0.001267, indicating the current price is near the lower band, with channel narrowing, suggesting significant short-term downward pressure.
  • MACD indicators (dif, dea, and macd) are all distinctly negative, confirming a clear short-term downtrend.
  • RSI6 stands at 9.08, and RSI14 is around 16, indicating severe oversold conditions in the short and medium term, but no clear signs of stabilization are present.
  • Moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50) are decreasing sequentially, with the price breaking through short-term moving averages, displaying a bearish alignment.
  • KDJ lines (K, D, J) are not turning in the oversold zone, indicating momentum has not yet reversed.
  • DMI shows dmi_minus at 37.20 significantly exceeding dmi_plus at 8.53, and the ADX at 33.07 remains high, signifying a strong bearish trend.
  • The long-to-short account ratio is 0.9361, and the active buy-sell ratio is slightly bullish, but the large account long-to-short ratio is as high as 3.108, indicating retail traders are bearish while large traders are bullish, suggesting cautious market sentiment overall.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT on the 15-minute timeframe, from a Bollinger Bands perspective, is close to the lower band with no effective rebound observed, indicating a short-term downtrend. The Bollinger Band width has narrowed, and the amplitude (0.902) is relatively low, suggesting the market may accumulate energy before a downward break. MACD across multiple periods remains negative, indicating a dominant bearish trend, with little short-term rebound momentum. RSI across various periods is severely oversold, which could trigger a rebound at any time, but technically, a bottoming out process usually must occur first; a bullish reversal structure has not yet formed. The moving averages display a classic bearish alignment, especially with MA10, MA20, and MA50 above the current price, presenting clear overhead resistance. Although KDJ is not in an extreme oversold condition, the K, D, and J lines show no signs of turning up, indicating the weak market structure persists. DMI shows bearish momentum dominating, with the ADX at a relatively high level. Once a downtrend forms, it tends to persist for a longer duration. Caution is advised against blindly chasing shorts, and bottom-fishing is also not recommended at this stage. From a capital perspective, large accounts have long positions, but the number of accounts is slightly bearish, possibly indicating left-side accumulation or hedging. Active buy-sell ratios are somewhat bullish, reflecting active low-price bidding, but overall, bullish consensus has yet to establish. Short-term support lies in the 4240-4180 range; breaching it could easily trigger a cascade effect, with strong support at 4160. Resistance levels are at approximately 4257 and 4284. It is expected that the 15-minute price will predominantly remain in a weak, declining state, with downward pressure prevailing. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see stance or lightly short the market, and only consider long positions after a divergence appears in the 15-minute MACD or RSI. Take profits near 4180; if a rebound occurs, monitor resistance around 4250.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(9.0837) rsi12(21.2639) rsi14(16.1347)
  • MACD:dif(-10.4359) dea(-5.8218) macd(-9.2283)
  • MA:ma5(4253.61) ma10(4253.61) ma20(4277)
  • Boll:up(4310.9) mid(4277) down(4243.1)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4569763.105 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.12%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9361
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 11, 2025 10:52

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2459

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.