Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4200-4230
Mark Price
4255.27
Actual Price
4239.47
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT is experiencing a rapid pullback; the short-term bearish advantage is evident: MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 all show death crosses, and the price has broken below the key moving average support, with MACD continuously expanding the green histogram, indicating the downward momentum is ongoing without clear reversal divergence. The RSI (6 to 24 periods) is extremely low (all below 25, some oversold areas even below 20), suggesting aggressive short-term bear sentiment. Although there is an implied short-term rebound demand, the inertia-driven decline has not yet shown signs of stabilization. While the J value in KDJ leads K and D and remains above 50—indicating a neutral to slightly bullish stance—other momentum indicators are weakening simultaneously. This should be viewed as a temporary consolidation rather than a bottom formation. In terms of capital flow, although the large traders’ long-short positions are relatively high, the number of long and short accounts is low. Major players are mostly shorting, while retail investors are cautious. The active buy-sell ratio is insufficient, and trading volume is relatively weak. The 24-hour trading volume is substantial but its amplitude has converged to 0.958, indicating that after high-level consolidation, prices are gradually retreating, and the trend is beginning to release downward energy. The ATR has decreased but still remains above 18; combined with volatility measures, there is a high probability of a downward move between 4200 and 4230 in the next 15 minutes. It is likely to stabilize only after fully releasing oversold conditions. It is advised that short-term investors exercise caution, either observing or lightly following the bearish trend. The 4200 level acts as the initial support; a break below requires timely stop-loss. Consider low buy-in opportunities only after a confirmed bottom rebound.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 11, 2025 10:33
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2458
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.