Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT has continued a gradual correction trend within the past 15-minute candlestick period. Various short-term momentum indicators (RSI, KDJ) all show extreme overselling. Although the main force longs are significantly concentrated, the number of accounts is not extreme, indicating that large holders face profit-taking pressure, and short-term bullish momentum is difficult to release quickly. The MACD shows a dead-cross downward and has not yet exhibited obvious bullish divergence, indicating that the downward momentum has not yet been fully released or bottomed out. There is still potential for further short-term decline. Funding rates are weak, and the buy-sell ratio is less than 1, suggesting that new buying momentum is weak, and market sentiment is indolent. The short-term price is close to the lower Bollinger Band, with support around 4200. Unless there's a sudden influx of buy orders, testing 4190 again remains likely. Large holders' long positions are extremely high, but active buy orders are limited, showing signs of concentrated hanging orders or 'killer longs.' If the price falls below support levels in the short term, it may trigger long liquidations and踩踏, increasing short-term risk. Based on multiple indicators, it is expected that ETHUSDT will mainly oscillate weakly within the next 15 minutes, with a target range of 4190-4250. Attention should be paid to whether 4190 can hold as support. If 4200 is effectively broken downward, the market may rapidly decline toward S2 (4160) or even S3 (4009). A clear rebound would require monitoring RSI and KDJ recovery signals. Trading suggestion: Currently dominated by bears; it is not advisable to blindly bottom-fish in the short term. Aggressive traders may attempt small positions short at 4240-4250 with a stop-loss at the middle Bollinger Band (4305). Conservative traders should wait until a break below 4190 and observe for a rebound or recovery before considering entering the market. Risk reminder: In the extremely oversold area, if there is a significant increase in funds buying or news-driven activity, potentially causing an oversold rebound, one must be vigilant about retracement risks.