Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4250-4280
Mark Price
4288.31
Actual Price
4270.27
Prediction Result
Within the 15-minute timeframe, most technical indicators for ETHUSDT exhibit oversold conditions, but there is no evidence of exhausted downward momentum or significant buying support; panic selling or trend-driven declines are still ongoing. The Bollinger Band percentage B at 0.16 indicates the price remains close to the lower band, with very weak rebound momentum. The RSI is extremely low (multiple periods severely oversold), yet no reversal or stabilization signals are present. The MACD remains in a persistent death cross, expanding further, which indicates strong bearish momentum and a high probability of short-term decline. The KDJ lines are at low levels and continue to diverge without showing clear signs of a bottom or reversal. The active buying and selling ratio, along with the proportion of bullish and bearish accounts, are both relatively low, suggesting that active funds are predominantly selling pressure. Overall market sentiment is cautious or even slightly panicked. Only the holding ratio of large traders shows a strong bullish distribution, but this has not reversed market sentiment, reflecting that some large funds are accumulating at lows but unable to reverse the short-term bearish structure. The lower boundary of the oscillation range is at 4279 (lower Bollinger Band), with the primary support at 4191-4160. It is expected that the short-term decline will seek stabilization between the lower Bollinger Band and these support levels. Considering the candlestick patterns, the recent trend has been overall bullish, but short-term momentum has noticeably weakened, with formations supporting a brief downward correction. Given that market volume has increased without signs of stabilization, if the price breaks below the current levels without quickly reversing, a short-term oscillation around 4250-4280 is likely as the market seeks a bottom, with a possible extreme decline to 4191, but this is not considered unless in extreme conditions. For short-term trading, it is advised to maintain light positions for short selling or to stay neutral and watch for stop-loss signals within the specified range. If volume diminishes and the price at low levels fails to make new lows, a tentative rebound could be attempted with a small position. However, aggressive shorting should be avoided, and strict stop-loss management is essential.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 11, 2025 07:32
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2453
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.