Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4150-4170
Mark Price
4183.29
Actual Price
4184.29
Prediction Result
From the perspective of price positioning and Bollinger Bands structure, ETHUSDT is currently quoted at 4183, already very close to the lower Bollinger Band at 4175, without a strong rebound at the key support level. The short-term Bollinger Bands are narrowing and trending downward, indicating that there is still room for short-term exploration below. The moving average system (MA5, MA10, MA20) is weakening across the board, all below MA50, suggesting a short-term downtrend pressure with limited price elasticity. RSI6 has rapidly fallen into the oversold zone but has not formed a rebound turning point, indicating that selling pressure remains unresolved, and the demand for recovery is strong but not yet mature. MACD remains bearish, with a loose dead cross and no signs of reversal. The KDJ indicator shows all three lines bottoming out, with the J-line at an extreme low, implying potential technical rebound momentum. However, considering account activity and trading concentration, buying is cautious. In terms of support and resistance structure, the current distance to S1 support at 4152 is approximately 30 points, which is likely to be tested. If it breaks below, there is a technical possibility of testing the lower level at 4005. Although large traders remain predominantly long, account distribution and active buy/sell operations have not effectively formed new upward momentum. Overall, at the 15-minute timeframe, a continued bearish outlook is advised. Short-term support should be protected at 4150; a break below would indicate further weakening downward movement. If a halt and increase in volume occur at 4150-4170, observe the bulls' stabilization strength. Avoid attempting to rebound prematurely at this stage, as there is a high risk of short-term pullback; aggressive short positions could be considered below 4180 with layered entries, stop loss above 4200, and targets adjusted to the 4150-4170 range. Trading advice: Monitor the 4150-4170 zone; if a structure confirming 15-minute stabilization is established, consider short-term long entries accordingly, otherwise focus on shorting with strict stop losses.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 10, 2025 12:04
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2431
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.