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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 09, 2025 13:52
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4130-4160

Mark Price

4172.46

Actual Price

4175.13

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands' percent_b is only 0.063938, with the price near the lower band and far from the middle band, indicating short-term pressure and weakness.
  • RSI6 is 26.71 and RSI14 is 29.88, both in the oversold zone, showing significant short-term bearish momentum.
  • MACD's negative value is increasing (DIF 6.87, DEA 14.52, MACD -15.3), with evident bearish energy release.
  • The three lines of KDJ are all below 50, with J reaching a low of 27.41, showing no signs of stabilization, leaving room for further adjustment in the short term.
  • Active buy-sell ratio and account ratio are both less than 1, with active selling weight in the order book, indicating poor market sentiment in the short term.
  • The large-holder position ratio is above 1, but the account ratio is only 1.09, signaling a structural long position but limited long-sided distribution, potentially exerting pressure for profit-taking at high levels.
  • ATR and DMI- are higher than DMI+, indicating increased market volatility and a bias toward a bearish trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT over the past several 15-minute periods has shown a clear retreat or sideways consolidation with a weak trend. Currently, the price is located within the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with percent_b at only 0.06, weaker than the recent average trend, indicating short-term support is fragile. The MACD indicator's DIF has crossed below DEA and the green energy bars have expanded, demonstrating that the short-term bearish force remains dominant, with no signs of short-term stabilization. Multiple RSI indicators (especially RSI6 and RSI14) are near 30, entering oversold territory. However, historical performance indicates that such extreme RSI readings may continue to oscillate downward before rebounding. It is recommended to avoid premature bottom-fishing. The three lines of the KDJ indicator are all weak, with the J line being even lower, and no signal of a rebound in the oversold zone has been observed. Short-term observation is advisable. The active buy-sell ratio and the ratio of bullish to bearish accounts are both less than 1, indicating market sentiment is relatively weak, with a tendency toward active selling and short-term capital outflow. Although large-holder long-short positions remain above 3, indicating a structural bullish trend, the ratio of large-holder long-short accounts has not significantly increased, implying that long distribution is limited and funds may reduce positions at high levels. Currently, ATR and DMI(-) are both higher than DMI(+), reflecting increased short-term volatility and a bias toward bearish directionality. Market fluctuation risks should be paid attention to. It is expected that in the next 15 minutes, ETHUSDT may continue with a weak and slow decline with consolidation, observing the support around 4130-4160. If market sentiment does not improve significantly, short-term strategies include observing or lightly shorting with the trend. After a substantial rebound in oversold conditions, a delay of 5-15 minutes may be necessary until the market stabilizes for further observation.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.7127) rsi12(31.9905) rsi14(29.885)
  • MACD:dif(6.8749) dea(14.5238) macd(-15.2978)
  • MA:ma5(4183.37) ma10(4183.37) ma20(4200.12)
  • Boll:up(4232.41) mid(4200.12) down(4167.83)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7270356.983 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.23%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.8783
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 09, 2025 13:52

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2387

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.