Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 78%
Target Price
4140-4170
Mark Price
4171.71
Actual Price
4174.48
Prediction Result
Currently, ETHUSDT on the 15-minute timeframe has shown a significant overbought correction. The candlestick chart indicates a top-reaching reversal, and the price has already fallen into the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting short-term support is relatively weak. The MACD has formed a death cross, and the negative value is continuously expanding, indicating persistent bearish momentum release. The price may continue to decline in the short term. Both RSI and KDJ are notably subdued, at levels indicating historical overselling. Although approaching a technical rebound zone, there are no strong bullish signals from substantial buying, and short-term inertia favors further decline. Technically, the moving average system—MA5 and MA10—has been fully penetrated, with the price trading below MA20. The short-term moving averages exert downward pressure, indicating a shift from strength to weakness within the 15-minute chart. Overall, trading volume remains stable but active buy orders are weak. Combined with the bullish-to-bearish ratio data, market retail trader sentiment is predominantly bearish. Short-term trading activity indicates insufficient bullish capital inflow. Support levels to monitor are in the range of 4140-4170 (Bollinger lower band and lower edge of MA20). If the price stabilizes, a brief rebound may occur; however, a decline below this zone could lead to further testing of support at S1 around 3890. Considering that current funding rates are normal and no major liquidations have occurred, it suggests most short positions are actively adjusting rather than panic-selling. The market is primarily operating with wave-based capital strategies. Overall recommendation: Short-term downward pressure is apparent. Within the next 15 minutes, prioritize the 4140-4170 support zone; if price drops below 4100, increased vigilance is required. Long positions should implement strict risk controls and consider waiting for a clear reversal signal before attempting a rebound.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 09, 2025 13:50
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2386
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.