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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 09, 2025 00:14
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

3980-4000

Mark Price

4011.72

Actual Price

4018.43

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.093053, and the price is close to the lower band, indicating significant downward pressure.
  • RSI across multiple periods is extremely low (all below 22 from 6 to 14), showing serious overselling and short-term downward inertia.
  • MACD is at -14.3746, with DIF well below DEA and clearly diverging, indicating bearish momentum with no signs of convergence.
  • KDJ lines are all in oversold territory (K: 15.8, D: 18.4, J: 10.5), so short-term rebound signals are not yet sufficient.
  • MA 5/10/20 moving average systems are all positioned above the price and weakening in the short term, indicating a bearish arrangement.
  • DMI_minus exceeds DMI_plus, with ADX at 26.2, showing trend strengthening and bearish dominance.
  • Large holders' long-short position ratio is high (3.1560), but the number of long and short accounts, as well as active buy-sell ratios, do not show clear bullish advantage; large holders may be passively long, with significant pressure from adjustments at high levels.
  • Support area S1 at 3876.7 still has some space below the current price, but the probability of short-term downward probing is high.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT 15m period K-line shows that the current overall correction after a high-level adjustment is clearly evident. The recent continuous decline has caused all types of momentum indicators to be in oversold territory, especially with RSI across multiple periods collectively below 25. The MACD green bars extend further, indicating insufficient rebound momentum, and short-term downward trend dominates. From the Bollinger Bands perspective, the current price is close to the lower band, and the Bollinger middle band continues to decline, with the band being under pressure. The MA5/10/20 bullish arrangement has been lost, with moving averages diverging downward, making it difficult for the price to mount a strong short-term rebound. The active buy-sell ratio and account number ratio do not show typical bottom divergence, thus unable to confirm significant bullish intervention. The major holders' long-short positions ratio remains high, but combined with the short-term weakening price, there is speculation of being trapped, indicating that it is not an active bullish attack. The risk of shorting should not be underestimated. From the trading volume perspective, there are no signs of volume reversal; the overall decline and panic selling have not been fully released, leading to support levels moving downward. ATR and volatility are slightly high but have not expanded drastically, with no signs of 'oversold rebound' for now, making weak correction recovery unlikely; DMI directional indicators support the continuation of a bearish trend. On the support side, S1 (3876.7) is the short-term first support level. However, due to severe overselling, once the price falls below 4000, a weak rebound may occur. It is expected that in the next 15 minutes, the price will fluctuate in the 3980-4000 range, stabilize, and then proceed with a directional decision. Overall, despite heavy overselling, no bottoming signals are evident in the short term. Caution is advised regarding strong support levels before considering contrarian trades; otherwise, it is preferable to follow the trend and remain bearish.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(16.3954) rsi12(17.3812) rsi14(21.941)
  • MACD:dif(2.8288) dea(10.0161) macd(-14.3746)
  • MA:ma5(4015.8) ma10(4015.8) ma20(4035.94)
  • Boll:up(4066.06) mid(4035.94) down(4005.81)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6101272.313 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.13%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.8175
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 09, 2025 00:14

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2344

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.