Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 83%
Target Price
3980-4000
Mark Price
4011.72
Actual Price
4018.43
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT 15m period K-line shows that the current overall correction after a high-level adjustment is clearly evident. The recent continuous decline has caused all types of momentum indicators to be in oversold territory, especially with RSI across multiple periods collectively below 25. The MACD green bars extend further, indicating insufficient rebound momentum, and short-term downward trend dominates. From the Bollinger Bands perspective, the current price is close to the lower band, and the Bollinger middle band continues to decline, with the band being under pressure. The MA5/10/20 bullish arrangement has been lost, with moving averages diverging downward, making it difficult for the price to mount a strong short-term rebound. The active buy-sell ratio and account number ratio do not show typical bottom divergence, thus unable to confirm significant bullish intervention. The major holders' long-short positions ratio remains high, but combined with the short-term weakening price, there is speculation of being trapped, indicating that it is not an active bullish attack. The risk of shorting should not be underestimated. From the trading volume perspective, there are no signs of volume reversal; the overall decline and panic selling have not been fully released, leading to support levels moving downward. ATR and volatility are slightly high but have not expanded drastically, with no signs of 'oversold rebound' for now, making weak correction recovery unlikely; DMI directional indicators support the continuation of a bearish trend. On the support side, S1 (3876.7) is the short-term first support level. However, due to severe overselling, once the price falls below 4000, a weak rebound may occur. It is expected that in the next 15 minutes, the price will fluctuate in the 3980-4000 range, stabilize, and then proceed with a directional decision. Overall, despite heavy overselling, no bottoming signals are evident in the short term. Caution is advised regarding strong support levels before considering contrarian trades; otherwise, it is preferable to follow the trend and remain bearish.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 09, 2025 00:14
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2344
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.