Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT current hourly timeframe is in a consolidation phase following a short-term adjustment; the 15-minute Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum, with the price operating near the lower middle band at a relatively low level, and the short-term trend remains unclear. The MACD remains below the zero line and continues to expand downward, reflecting that the bearish momentum has not yet been fully absorbed; however, there is no sign of a new surge in volume to push lower, and the weak rebound has not formed a clear golden cross, indicating limited upward potential. The RSI and KDJ indicators are showing weak signals overall, with market sentiment largely cautious. Notably, RSI values are persistently low, suggesting insufficient bullish enthusiasm in the short term, with only large-volume holders actively increasing their positions, which indicates strong support but limited influence on retail traders. The active buy/sell ratio also confirms a cautious market sentiment. Trading volume remains at a moderate level, but market capitalization and position fluctuations are mostly confined within the 3900±40 point range. The resistance at 3935.88 (R1) is challenging to break effectively, while support levels are distributed around 3880, resulting in repeated tug-of-war movements. Based on volatility indicators such as ATR and ADX, which are both relatively low, it is highly probable that the 15-minute price action will maintain a range-bound consolidation phase. Both chasing gains and bottom-fishing are less likely to yield significant success; it is advisable to focus short-term on trading within the 3880 to 3920 range, with repeated testing of support and resistance levels. Risk warning: if the price breaks below the lower Bollinger band at 3880, there is a risk of testing S1 (3777.14); if a strong volume bullish candle breaks through the 3900–3920 zone, then attention should be paid to the 3935.88 resistance area. However, the short-term trend remains cautious and choppy. Overall strategy should focus on range trading; patiently wait for price pullbacks to the lower boundary of the range for short-term long entries upon confirming support, or consider taking profits near resistance zones. Avoid emotional chasing of orders, with priority given to position management.