Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3860-3890
Mark Price
3887.06
Actual Price
3892.52
Prediction Result
The current candlestick chart has experienced a rapid upward surge followed by sideways consolidation at high levels and suppression. After volume amplification, it has decreased, indicating that short-term major players may have staged a phased liquidation, with further downward risk. The MACD indicator shows a death cross, with both lines and histogram weakening in sync, demonstrating that funds are forming a resonant selling pressure, and the short-term bears have a significant advantage. The RSI from multiple timeframes is in an obviously weak zone, especially the 6-period RSI nearing extreme oversold levels, indicating a potential short-term inertia-driven decline or even a breach of the lower Bollinger Band. The lower Bollinger Band (3886.54) is very close to the current price (3887.06). A further dip below might test the lower boundary around 3860; if broken, it could proceed towards the S1 support at 3711. However, space below the 15-minute timeframe appears limited. The J value of the KDJ indicator has turned negative, indicating that during the inertia-driven decline, the bulls' rebound is weak, with no effective oversold rebound observed, suggesting continued weakness. Despite the overall long positions among large holders (more than threefold), the active buy/sell ratio and the number of accounts are subdued, indicating low follow-up willingness from small traders and that the market has not stabilized for a rebound; signs of large holders locking in profits prematurely are present, with significant long positions potentially fleeing. Conclusion: Under the background of MACD death cross, highly bearish KDJ, and RSI oversold without rebound, it is expected that ETHUSDT will oscillate downward over the next 15 minutes, with a target range of 3860-3890. Should the price break below the lower band with increased volume, further downside risks should be watched for, and chasing longs is not recommended in the short term. Shorts can cautiously follow and strictly implement profit-taking and stop-loss strategies.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 08, 2025 09:29
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2299
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.