LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 08, 2025 09:29
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3860-3890

Mark Price

3887.06

Actual Price

3892.52

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • MACD is negative with dif and dea lines forming a death cross, and the MACD histogram has expanded further to -8.1265, indicating short-term downward momentum is strengthening.
  • RSI across all periods is significantly below 50, especially RSI6 at only 24.6148, in the obvious oversold zone, triggering a short-term decline.
  • KDJ lines are bearish, with the J value at -2.2677, further confirming weakness.
  • The Bollinger Band percentage is negative, with the current price close to the lower band, prone to inertia-driven pullback.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are leveling off, with the current price pressured above their lines, lacking upward momentum in the short term.
  • The DMI indicator shows dmi_minus at 22.5337 exceeds dmi_plus at 18.2002, indicating a bearish trend, with ADX at 24.39 suggesting that market momentum remains considerable.
  • The active buy/sell ratio is only 0.7455, reflecting insufficient buying strength; funds are in a neutral rate, and after volume amplification, rapid retreat occurs, with short-term longs taking profits.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current candlestick chart has experienced a rapid upward surge followed by sideways consolidation at high levels and suppression. After volume amplification, it has decreased, indicating that short-term major players may have staged a phased liquidation, with further downward risk. The MACD indicator shows a death cross, with both lines and histogram weakening in sync, demonstrating that funds are forming a resonant selling pressure, and the short-term bears have a significant advantage. The RSI from multiple timeframes is in an obviously weak zone, especially the 6-period RSI nearing extreme oversold levels, indicating a potential short-term inertia-driven decline or even a breach of the lower Bollinger Band. The lower Bollinger Band (3886.54) is very close to the current price (3887.06). A further dip below might test the lower boundary around 3860; if broken, it could proceed towards the S1 support at 3711. However, space below the 15-minute timeframe appears limited. The J value of the KDJ indicator has turned negative, indicating that during the inertia-driven decline, the bulls' rebound is weak, with no effective oversold rebound observed, suggesting continued weakness. Despite the overall long positions among large holders (more than threefold), the active buy/sell ratio and the number of accounts are subdued, indicating low follow-up willingness from small traders and that the market has not stabilized for a rebound; signs of large holders locking in profits prematurely are present, with significant long positions potentially fleeing. Conclusion: Under the background of MACD death cross, highly bearish KDJ, and RSI oversold without rebound, it is expected that ETHUSDT will oscillate downward over the next 15 minutes, with a target range of 3860-3890. Should the price break below the lower band with increased volume, further downside risks should be watched for, and chasing longs is not recommended in the short term. Shorts can cautiously follow and strictly implement profit-taking and stop-loss strategies.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(24.6148) rsi12(33.6346) rsi14(43.3109)
  • MACD:dif(-1.9426) dea(2.1207) macd(-8.1265)
  • MA:ma5(3893.96) ma10(3893.96) ma20(3907.88)
  • Boll:up(3929.23) mid(3907.88) down(3886.54)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6596475.556 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.23%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.0509
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 08, 2025 09:29

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2299

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.