Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT 15-minute timeframe, price fluctuates around the middle-lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and both MACD and KDJ indicators show strong bearish momentum with no clear rebound signals; short-term downward pressure exceeds rebound desire. Moving average system shows a short bear and long bull situation, with MA5<MA10<MA20, reflecting current short-term resistance. The current price slightly breaks below MA5 and approaches the lower Bollinger Band; without sudden buying volume, an inertial decline is highly likely. Bull-bear indicators indicate that long positions are highly concentrated in the market, but active buy-sell ratios lean bearish, and the short-term RSI and KDJ fail to show signs of stabilizing or reversing upward, suggesting a high probability of continued bearish dominance. Trading volume remains moderate without explosive increase, indicating that panic selling is not severe, but bulls lack strength to actively control the market. The market funding rate is extremely low, signaling weak short-term directional bias, prone to passive downward movement. The first support level S1 is far from the current price; if the price fails to hold above 3900 in the short term, there is a high probability of decline towards the 3870-3890 range. If support in this range holds, close attention should be paid to whether KDJ and MACD indicators can halt the decline and recover. Strategy suggestion: Do not attempt to bottom-fish in the short term; wait until a clear rebound signal appears in the 3870-3890 range before cautiously considering short-term longs. The current trend still favors the bearish side. Use 3850 as the stop-loss boundary; if broken, risk mitigation is required. Based on the overall candlestick pattern and indicator performance in this cycle, a defensive approach is strongly recommended, with strict stop-loss measures. Do not blindly enter positions for bottom-fishing until reversal signals are evident.