Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3860-3890
Mark Price
3894.55
Actual Price
3885.17
Prediction Result
Within the 15-minute cycle, the price persistently retraced to the lower Bollinger Band, with the candlestick chart showing a decline from high levels. The short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are weakening stepwise, with MA5 falling below MA10 and MA20, reflecting a clear short-term downward pressure. The MACD indicator has formed a death cross with a pronounced downward opening, indicating strong bearish momentum release. No bottoming signal is observed, thus not supporting a short-term rebound. Momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ are significantly below 50 (the median), and the indices are all in a declining channel, implying a strongly bearish market sentiment. Although the long-short holding ratio of large traders (3.0366) indicates substantial long positions remain, the order book's buy-sell ratio is below 1, and the volume-price correlation is low. This suggests diminishing capital inflow and a high likelihood of short-term selling pressure. Support point S1 is at 3711.07, with resistance R1 at 3926.38. The current price is hovering near the lower boundary of the interval. A break below the Bollinger lower band will continue to test the support at the 3860 range. Trading volume has not increased, indicating insufficient momentum for a rebound. Short-term moving averages show no signs of stabilization or reversal, and the 15-minute cycle estimates ongoing downside strength. If the price drops below the 3890 level in the short term, the next support zone will be between 3860 and 3880 (based on the extension of the Bollinger bands and previous dense trading price levels). In summary, within the next 15 minutes, ETHUSDT is highly likely to continue weakening, falling into the 3860-3890 range. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach or lightly short position; consider reversing strategy upon confirmation of a trend reversal signal. Stop-loss can be set above the MA20 at 3909.92 to avoid risks from sudden rebounds.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 08, 2025 09:10
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2291
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.