LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 06, 2025 16:31
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3661-3700

Mark Price

3649.0

Actual Price

3639.78

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.8362, with the price clearly approaching the upper band, indicating significant bearish control by bulls in the short term.
  • MACD double lines are strongly bullish with a golden cross, and DIF and MACD are positive and continuously enlarging, indicating enhanced bullish momentum.
  • RSI 6/12/14 all above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but bullish momentum still exhibits inertia, increasing the likelihood of upward movement.
  • Moving averages are arranged with MA5 > MA10 > MA20; short-term MAs are upward sloping, and the price is operating above these averages, showing a strong trend.
  • KDJ remains high and flat without a clear death cross, leaving room for continued upward inertia.
  • Large account long-short position ratio is as high as 3.2022, and the account count ratio is 1.7762, indicating heavy dominance of large funds favoring long positions.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is at 0.5675, with active buy orders prevailing, reflecting a bullish sentiment among short-term funds.
  • Resistance at R3 (3661.4) is very close to the current price; if broken, it can quickly target R2 and R1 levels.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has experienced a clear oscillating upward trend in approximately 400 fifteen-minute candlesticks, with MACD volume continuously expanding, moving averages fully in a bullish alignment, quickly covering the retracement support after testing, and trading volume modestly increasing. Coupled with fund flow sentiment indicators showing active buying dominance, the short-term market still has room for further upward movement. The Bollinger Bands current price has approached near the upper band, with percent_b at 0.83, indicating very strong short-term bullish inertia. However, attention should be paid to the risk of a brief pullback caused by overbought conditions at high levels. Nonetheless, structural funds have not shown significant outflows, with institutional investors following the primary upward wave. Although KDJ shows signs of high-level recovery, no death cross has formed. MACD continues to demonstrate bullish strength, being less than 15 points away from the primary resistance R3 (3661.4). If market sentiment drives a breakout, the price will challenge the resistance zone around 3700. While the short-term amplitude is not extremely large, ATR and DMI+ indicate rising momentum exceeds downward momentum. The ratio of large account long to short positions and their holdings are both very high. Mainstream capital favors long positions, making short-term prices likely to continue marginal incremental rises based on inertia. Caution is needed against chasing high at elevated levels. Currently, RSI exceeds 70, but there are no signs of significant profit-taking by bullish investors. If the price breaks through 3661, a test of the 3690-3700 range is likely in the short term. A rapid pullback would see support near the MA20/middle Bollinger Band around 3615-3620. During trading, it is advisable to follow the trend and watch for timely profit-taking and stop-loss actions. Overall, ETHUSDT has a high probability of inertia-driven upward movement towards the resistance zone of 3661-3700 in the 15-minute timeframe.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(71.9945) rsi12(72.5666) rsi14(73.1457)
  • MACD:dif(10.2674) dea(5.0817) macd(10.3714)
  • MA:ma5(3650.73) ma10(3650.73) ma20(3615.79)
  • Boll:up(3664.45) mid(3615.79) down(3567.12)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4480456.576 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.3%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5471
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 06, 2025 16:31

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2218

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.