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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 06, 2025 13:42
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

3550-3570

Mark Price

3592.17

Actual Price

3599.37

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI indicators (14, 12, 24) are all around 30, in the oversold area, but no significant rebound signs are evident, indicating short-term further downward momentum.
  • MACD remains in negative territory, with dif and dea both trending down and increasing MACD histograms, demonstrating strong bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Band %B is only 0.19, with the price near the lower band, showing weakness.
  • Moving averages are arranged in a bearish configuration, with current price below all MAs (from MA5 to MA200).
  • KDJ indicators (k, d, j) are all at low levels; although no absolute divergence is observed, no clear bottom divergence signals are present.
  • The DMI shows a negative bias (dmi_minus at 29.44) significantly higher than the positive (dmi_plus at 11.1), with ADX at 23.9, indicating a solid bearish trend and strengthening trendicity.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is less than 1, with the market exhibiting slightly more selling pressure; recent large funds tend to lean long but have not triggered a price rebound, possibly hinting at left-side bottom fishing with insufficient strength.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the 15-minute candlestick analysis, ETHUSDT has recently retreated from high levels, with short-term moving averages trending downward unilaterally, and the price continuously operating near the lower Bollinger Band, close to the lower band, with no clear signs of correction. The MACD histogram accelerates in expansion, RSI remains in the oversold zone but no bullish rebound signals are observed, indicating a lack of effective buying support in the current market and an inertia-driven short-term downward tendency. The three lines of KDJ show no rapid turnaround, and K, D, J are all not far from low levels; typically, at this stage, the downward inertia exceeds the probability of a rebound. Although the large account long-short positions ratio and the account count ratio are both skewed towards the long side, with signs of principal funds previously positioning, indicators such as active buy-sell ratio, short-term MACD, and DMI suggest that the downward trend dominates, and the market may not yet have reached an ideal low-entry zone. A short-term rebound can only be expected if the price tests S1 support (3542) and S2 (3527), accompanied by increased trading volume and KDJ bullish divergence conditions. Overall, the outlook indicates that ETHUSDT is likely to continue its short-term decline over the next 15 minutes, with an expected target range of 3550–3570. A supportive rebound is only possible if the price subsequently finds support near S1, which could lead to a short-term stabilization and correction. Trading suggestion: Based on the trend, consider small short positions; after breaking below S1, beware of the risk of accelerated decline. If the price reaches the support zone and shows signs of stabilization with increased volume, consider low-entry buying with strict stop-loss orders.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(49.0457) rsi12(30.0568) rsi14(30.6222)
  • MACD:dif(-7.1887) dea(-3.3771) macd(-7.6232)
  • MA:ma5(3589.37) ma10(3589.37) ma20(3611.65)
  • Boll:up(3643.4) mid(3611.65) down(3579.89)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5049310.688 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.23%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.7480
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 06, 2025 13:42

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2214

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.