LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 05, 2025 16:02
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3520-3550

Mark Price

3566.73

Actual Price

3582.24

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • All RSI indicators are low, with RSI14 at 32.38 and RSI12 at 34.11, indicating overselling but with still-strong downward momentum.
  • MACD shows DIF at -23.82, DEA at -18.20, and MACD at -11.23, all negative and trending downward.
  • KDJ indicators have K at 13.59, D at 16.40, and J at 7.97, all in oversold territory with potential for further decline in the short term.
  • Bollinger Band percentage is 0.194, with the price near the lower band but not at extreme limits.
  • The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement: MA5 (3571.05) < MA10 (3583.32) < MA20 (3617.14).
  • ADX stands at 30.35, with DMI- at 30.24 significantly higher than DMI+ at 13.48, indicating a strong downtrend.
  • Large trader position data shows a long-to-short ratio of 3.33, slightly bullish, but active buy-sell ratio at 0.78 suggests bearish market behavior.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current ETHUSDT price is 3566.73, clearly in a downtrend with technical indicators predominantly bearish. The Bollinger Bands show the price located in the middle to lower band region, with a bandwidth of 0.0456 indicating moderate volatility. The collective RSI indicator is decreasing, with RSI14 at only 32.38, entering the oversold zone but without a clear bottom divergence signal as of yet. The MACD indicators have all three lines negative, and the difference between DIF and DEA is widening, suggesting strong downward momentum. The moving average system exhibits a typical bearish alignment, with short-term MAs (MA5 and MA10) below the long-term MAs, and the price currently trading below MA5, indicating a short-term weak outlook. The KDJ indicator shows severe overselling, but the J line at 7.97 still has room to decline further. Among the DMI indicators, the negative DMI- at 30.24 far exceeds the positive DMI+ at 13.48, and with an ADX of 30.35, trend strength is relatively high. Exchange data indicates that although the large traders' long-to-short position ratio is 3.33, suggesting a bias towards bulls, the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.78, reflecting that actual market trading behavior is predominantly bearish. The 24-hour amplitude of -2.206% further reflects the current weak sentiment. Support level analysis shows S1 at 3495.16 and S2 at 3452.79. Considering the current bearish technical signals, the price may test the 3520-3550 range before potentially declining further. Risk warning: Although the technical indicators show oversold conditions, persistent downward trends can prolong oversold states. It is advisable to wait for RSI divergence signals or a rebound confirmation after price breaks key support levels before considering reverse positions. Trading suggestion: Consider short positions with light capital in the 3520-3550 range, with a stop-loss above 3580. If the price falls below the 3495 support, the target is around 3450. Close attention should be paid to whether RSI shows bottom divergence signals as an indicator of possible trend reversal.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(48.1588) rsi12(34.1138) rsi14(32.3795)
  • MACD:dif(-23.8165) dea(-18.2028) macd(-11.2275)
  • MA:ma5(3571.05) ma10(3571.05) ma20(3617.14)
  • Boll:up(3699.61) mid(3617.14) down(3534.67)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6334323.422 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.42%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8769
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Aug 05, 2025 16:02

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2191

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.