LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 05, 2025 14:50
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3489-3560

Mark Price

3569.89

Actual Price

3582.37

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and is approaching the lower band, with percent_b being negative, indicating increased downside pressure.
  • MACD is significantly negative and has formed a death cross, with downside-biased momentum; no short-term reversal signs are apparent.
  • RSI across various periods is in the severely oversold zone (RSI14 at 17.44), indicating a strong downward trend with potential inertial decline in the short term.
  • J value of KDJ is negative, with both K and D being extremely low, showing an extreme bearish condition without stabilization signals.
  • MA5 and MA10 have fallen below MA20 and MA50, respectively, indicating short-term moving average bearish alignment and a weak market posture.
  • DMI indicates DMI- significantly exceeds DMI+, and ADX above 27, signifying a strong downward trend.
  • Volatility (ATR) remains negative, and the active buy-sell ratio is only slightly above 1, while the number of bullish and bearish accounts is substantially skewed towards selling; however, market reversal signs are absent, perhaps indicating early signs of crowd front-running.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current 15-minute cycle assessment indicates a high probability of continued short-term weakness and downside movement in ETHUSDT. Technically, the lower band of the Bollinger Bands is being tested, with the percent_b near -0.001. Sustained breakdown below this level would further open the downside space. All parameters of the MACD series are indicative of a classic bearish alignment, with no signs of convergence. Coupled with RSI remaining deeply oversold, the rebound strength is weak. Caution is advised for potential inertial sell-offs in the short term. The three lines of KDJ remain at low levels, especially the J line being negative and the K line not showing a bullish crossover, indicating no short-term bullish signals. Overall, the rebound momentum is weak. The moving average system is uniformly downward; MA5 and MA10 have clearly broken below the long-term moving averages, confirming a bearish trend. The ATR volatility still has room to rise, suggesting the downward trend could persist. The DMI indicator shows a bearish dominance, with ADX above 25 indicating strong downside momentum. The active buy-sell ratio is slightly bullish, but the number of accounts is extremely skewed towards selling, reflecting that retail traders and funds are in an unstable transitional phase, which could trigger a new round of sell pressure at any time. Support levels are focused on S1 (3489). If broken, it would test S2 (3451). Short-term outlook recommends waiting and not bottom-fishing; aggressive traders may consider partial short positions between the current price and 3560, with a stop-loss recommended no higher than 3619 (R3). In case of an oversold strong rebound, halving positions at higher levels is advised to prevent sudden short-term reversals. Overall assessment: ETHUSDT shows no clear signs of stabilization in the short cycle. Downward pressure is significant, with main funds yet to halt the decline. The market is prone to inertia-driven downside, with a target range of 3489-3560 in the 15-minute cycle.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(12.1929) rsi12(18.4091) rsi14(17.4448)
  • MACD:dif(-19.0026) dea(-9.5455) macd(-18.9141)
  • MA:ma5(3594.03) ma10(3594.03) ma20(3642.52)
  • Boll:up(3716.44) mid(3642.52) down(3568.59)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6107617.099 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.41%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8161
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 05, 2025 14:50

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2187

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.