Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3489-3560
Mark Price
3569.89
Actual Price
3582.37
Prediction Result
The current 15-minute cycle assessment indicates a high probability of continued short-term weakness and downside movement in ETHUSDT. Technically, the lower band of the Bollinger Bands is being tested, with the percent_b near -0.001. Sustained breakdown below this level would further open the downside space. All parameters of the MACD series are indicative of a classic bearish alignment, with no signs of convergence. Coupled with RSI remaining deeply oversold, the rebound strength is weak. Caution is advised for potential inertial sell-offs in the short term. The three lines of KDJ remain at low levels, especially the J line being negative and the K line not showing a bullish crossover, indicating no short-term bullish signals. Overall, the rebound momentum is weak. The moving average system is uniformly downward; MA5 and MA10 have clearly broken below the long-term moving averages, confirming a bearish trend. The ATR volatility still has room to rise, suggesting the downward trend could persist. The DMI indicator shows a bearish dominance, with ADX above 25 indicating strong downside momentum. The active buy-sell ratio is slightly bullish, but the number of accounts is extremely skewed towards selling, reflecting that retail traders and funds are in an unstable transitional phase, which could trigger a new round of sell pressure at any time. Support levels are focused on S1 (3489). If broken, it would test S2 (3451). Short-term outlook recommends waiting and not bottom-fishing; aggressive traders may consider partial short positions between the current price and 3560, with a stop-loss recommended no higher than 3619 (R3). In case of an oversold strong rebound, halving positions at higher levels is advised to prevent sudden short-term reversals. Overall assessment: ETHUSDT shows no clear signs of stabilization in the short cycle. Downward pressure is significant, with main funds yet to halt the decline. The market is prone to inertia-driven downside, with a target range of 3489-3560 in the 15-minute cycle.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 05, 2025 14:50
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2187
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.