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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 05, 2025 14:12
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3558-3600

Mark Price

3608.14

Actual Price

3571.49

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b is -0.040, with the price close to the lower band, indicating evident short-term weakness.
  • MACD is in a pronounced negative value (dif: -7.77, macd: -8.95), showing strong downward momentum.
  • RSI6 is only 35.16, with RSI12 and RSI14 at 28.07 and 25.36 respectively; all are in oversold territory, though no reversal signals have been observed.
  • KDJ indicators with K at 27.84 and J at 12.78 remain in the oversold zone, continuing downward.
  • Large institutional positions show a long-short ratio exceeding 3, but the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating most active trades are on the sell side. Capital flow has not significantly shifted to the bullish side.
  • DMI indicator shows dmi_minus surpassing dmi_plus, with ADX at 22, indicating a clear weakness.
  • Support level S1 is at 3558. Current price is near S1, suggesting further downside potential.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current price 3608, approaching the lower Bollinger Band, indicating strong short-term downward pressure. From the MACD perspective, negative values are expanding with no signs of bottom divergence, confirming short-term bearish dominance. Both RSI and KDJ indicators reflect oversold conditions; while a rebound is expected, sufficient divergence signals have not yet appeared. Trading volume has not significantly increased, combined with a buy-sell ratio less than 1, suggesting that although large institutional holders are holding more positions, there is limited active capital following in the market. The middle Bollinger Band and all moving averages (except MA200) are positioned above the current price, indicating further technical suppression in the short term. In the DMI indicator, dmi_minus is significantly higher than dmi_plus, implying a stronger bearish trend than bullish. Additionally, ADX remains above 20, indicating the trend still has continuation potential. Support and resistance assessment: the critical short-term support is around 3558. If this level is effectively broken, the price may continue to test the 3480-3558 range. Based on institutional data and technical analysis, it is judged that the current 15-minute cycle is still predominantly downward. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach in the short term or take light positions following the decline. If there is volume at the bottom and divergence in indicators later on, a rebound can be re-targeted.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(35.1613) rsi12(28.068) rsi14(25.355)
  • MACD:dif(-7.7739) dea(-3.2944) macd(-8.9591)
  • MA:ma5(3629.15) ma10(3629.15) ma20(3654.51)
  • Boll:up(3699.52) mid(3654.51) down(3609.49)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5840991.883 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.4%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.7670
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 05, 2025 14:12

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2182

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.