LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 05, 2025 12:52
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3610-3670

Mark Price

3636.07

Actual Price

3624.47

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %b is at 0.28, with the price between the lower band and the middle band, indicating recent downward movement but not extreme overselling, reflecting a weak oscillation.
  • Both dif and MACD are negative with a significant gap, suggesting short-term downward pressure, yet no new accelerating downward momentum has formed.
  • RSI6 stands at only 17.29, in the oversold zone, which may trigger short-term corrective rebounds, but RSIs at 14 and 24 are around 46-47, indicating a generally neutral medium-term market stance.
  • The J line in KDJ is below K and D, indicating limited short-term corrective energy, with a high probability of subsequent oscillation.
  • Prices are below all short-term moving averages (MA5/10/20/50), implying immediate downside pressure, but supported by the 200-period moving average at 3589.
  • The big players' long-to-short position ratio is 3.41, and the account count ratio is 2.04, showing a predominantly bullish institutional sentiment. However, the active buy-sell ratio of 0.83 and low funding rate suggest retail traders' selling pressure has not been fully released in the short term.
  • In the DMI indicator, -DMI is significantly higher than +DMI, and the ADX exceeds 20, indicating a clear trend market. However, given the short-term oversold condition, the current trend may experience recovery and consolidation.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on candlestick charts and volume analysis, ETHUSDT has been gradually rising from around 3400 recently, with increased volume during a rally from 3660 to 3710, followed by a pullback, indicating signs of high-level oscillation. Regarding MACD performance, both dif and dea have shifted from bullish to bearish, and the MACD histogram expanded to -5.294, showing dominant bearish momentum. However, there is no acceleration in downward movement, suggesting weakening downside power and a tendency toward consolidation. The RSI6 is in an oversold state, but the 14 and 24-period RSIs are both at neutral levels. The abnormality indicates a potential short-term oversold correction, though the direction remains unclear. The KDJ lines are diverging, with J at a low level, suggesting a possible rebound at any time, but the overall momentum has not resulted in an effective trend reversal. Large institutional positions are predominantly long, indicating that major funds are attempting to support the market, but short-term selling pressure still exists. Volume changes and active buy-sell ratios show that market trading activity is moderate, and overall bullish enthusiasm in the external environment has not yet sharply intensified. Regarding support and resistance: S1 is at 3549, R1 at 3735. The current price remains below both levels, with a strong support after a consolidating downward move, and upward resistance present. The expected trading range in the 15-minute interval is primarily between 3610 and 3670. Overall assessment: In the very short term, under the combined effects of oversold conditions and an unbroken trend, the market is highly likely to oscillate and consolidate. Attention should be paid to the performance within the 3610-3670 range. It is not advisable to chase orders now; waiting for a clearer trend is preferable. It is recommended to observe or remain on the sidelines until the direction becomes clearer.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(17.2951) rsi12(40.7937) rsi14(46.7101)
  • MACD:dif(-0.7206) dea(1.9264) macd(-5.294)
  • MA:ma5(3653.69) ma10(3653.69) ma20(3654.46)
  • Boll:up(3698.23) mid(3654.46) down(3610.69)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6204421.202 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.33%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6267
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 05, 2025 12:52

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2180

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.