Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT on the 15m chart has recently rebounded sharply from the 3518-3562 region, but now price is circulating in a congestion zone between support at 3635 and resistance at 3695/3722. Technical structure: Bollinger Bands show limited expansion and price currently sits slightly below the median, unable to breach upper band. Macroeconomic activity saw large buy-side interest from whales (top long/short > 3), but broader market participation (account ratios) hints at only modest bullish conviction. MACD is negative but flattening, often a precursor to range-bound price action or a base before next directional push. RSI does not register overbought or oversold, indicating indecisiveness. KDJ's elevated J-line without sharp divergence from K/D lines, plus a crowded MA cluster, affirm that price is being compressed for a probable volatility contraction. Volume remains robust, but with no directional breakout, market may be distributing or preparing for the next volatility surge—patience required. Trade guidance: Wait-and-see preferred, as near-term risk-reward is muted. Only consider longs after a pullback to 3635-3645 with clear volume absorption. Short-term shorts to be considered only if price fails at 3695-3706 and MACD turns decisively downward. Risk management: Place stop-loss below S1 (3562.05) if contemplating any bounce trade. Target profits at R1 (3722.9) if upward momentum resumes. Avoid chasing price unless a decisive breakout occurs; prioritize capital preservation in this range. Summary: 15m price action likely to oscillate between 3635-3695 for next cycle. Await clear break of support or resistance before increasing position size. Watch for signs of volume+momentum alignment before shifting bias from neutral.