Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3600-3640
Mark Price
3663.57
Actual Price
3653.7
Prediction Result
After a brief rebound, ETHUSDT experienced a sustained decline from high levels, with candlestick charts showing a low-level oscillation and downward trend. Currently, the lower Bollinger Band is repeatedly tested; the price remains near the lower band without a clear dominant green candlestick, indicating that selling pressure remains relatively strong. The MACD indicator shows significant bearish momentum, with both DIF and DEA well below zero, and the MACD histogram bars deepening, reflecting recent concentrated downward energy and a bearish trend dominating the market. RSI and KDJ are both in oversold zones; while a rebound might be theoretically expected, there is no substantial volume to support a reversal, indicating persistent downward inertia. The moving averages remain in death cross formation, with no stabilization of the bulls. Large institutional buy positions greatly exceed sell positions, but this also suggests that bullish traders are awaiting a bounce to exit, and genuine new buying volume is insufficient. Additionally, the funding rate is extremely low, indicating weak market bullish intent, with only some speculative funds risking a rally for a bounce. Current S1 support is at 3562, relatively close to the current price; short-term resistance exists but with a high probability of further downward momentum. The reasonable target zone is between 3600 and 3640; if broken below, attention should be paid to the 3500 level. Overall, the weak bearish trend of ETHUSDT remains unchanged. Caution is advised against blindly catching bottoms; prudent traders should wait for clearer market signals or bottom formation before considering participation. If a short-term rebound occurs, it should be viewed as an opportunity to reduce holdings rather than a signal to aggressively go long. Trading recommendation: Short positions can be tested lightly, with core stop-loss set above MA10 (~3680). Take-profit targets are in the 3600–3640 range. If volume surges and a strong green candle appears during trading, stop-loss and take-profit can be adjusted flexibly.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 05, 2025 03:13
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2170
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.