Deepredict
Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
3500-3535
Mark Price
3552.33
Actual Price
3529.7
Prediction Result
Analysis Basis:
- Bollinger %b is at 0.13, with the price approaching and breaching the lower and middle bands, indicating weak short-term room.
- MACD is negative and continues to deepen (dif: -20.45, dea: -16.83, macd: -7.23), with increasing bearish momentum and no sign of stabilization.
- RSI6 is only 25.69, and RSI12 is even lower at 15.81, indicating severe overselling. Short-term demand may attempt to recover, but no significant rebound has occurred.
- KDJ is hovering at low levels: K: 24.7, D: 25.7, J: 22.7. The bearish trend dominates, with no clear inflection point visible.
- All MA moving averages are arranged bearishly and diverging rapidly. MA5/MA10 have broken below other MAs, and MA200 remains far above the current price, signifying strong bearish suppression.
- DMI- is significantly higher than DMI+. The ADX at 39.59 indicates a strong and likely persistent bearish trend.
- Active buy/sell ratio is below 1, with selling pressure dominating. The divergence between volume and price increases the risk of accelerated decline, and price volatility is considerable.
ETHUSDT 15-minute cycle overall exhibits a clear downward trend. The candlestick chart shows a continuous oscillation and decline from the 3850 region, without signs of stabilization. After multiple weak rebounds, new lows are created, and trading volume has increased. Bollinger Bands are widening, with the price shifting between the upper and lower bands since last week, forming a broad decline. Currently, it is again approaching the lower band, indicating short-term inertia to continue downward movement. Indicators show no significant signs of reversal, and the downward trend has not yet halted. The MACD and RSI combination forms an extreme bearish signal, and the KDJ death cross pattern persists. The moving average system is arranged in a bearish alignment: MA5<MA10<MA20<MA50<MA200. The price is far below the long-term moving averages, highlighting an obvious short-term weakness. DMI- (30.98) is much greater than DMI+ (10.30), and the ADX is high at 39.59, indicating a clear decline with a strong trend. Short-term reversal is unlikely. Although large institution traders show significant long positioning, the active buy/sell ratio and broader market bearish indicators are aligned, indicating that the overall market sentiment is predominantly bearish. Major players have yet to effectively defend the market. If the short-term price falls below the Bollinger lower band in the 3535-3500 range, inertia-driven bottoming could occur, so it is not advisable to blindly buy the dip. Shorting targets could be set around 3535, with the possibility of testing the 3500 support level in extreme cases. Due to highly oversold conditions in multiple indicators, a slight short-term rebound is possible. However, the main strategy is to wait for signs of bearish momentum exhaustion before considering positioning. Temporary rebounds can be viewed as opportunities for high-level short entries. The recommended operation is to short on rebounds, avoiding chasing longs, with stop-losses set around 3555-3570 (above MA5).
Technical Indicators Analysis
- RSI:rsi6(25.6946) rsi12(15.8124) rsi14(27.3013)
- MACD:dif(-20.4455) dea(-16.8295) macd(-7.232)
- MA:ma5(3559.74) ma10(3559.74) ma20(3593.55)
- Boll:up(3652.12) mid(3593.55) down(3534.98)
Market Indicators
- Volume:8577511.068 (24h)
- Volatility:0.31%
- Long/Short Ratio:1.9949
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 01, 2025 19:15
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2035
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.