Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
3515-3555
Mark Price
3559.53
Actual Price
3533.45
Prediction Result
As seen from the candlestick chart, ETHUSDT has been declining from a high level (around 3850), with no increase in volume capacity; combined with decreasing active buy orders, bears are dominating. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the current price is near the lower band with percent_b below 0.2; in the short term, it may inertially break below the lower band and undergo a slight rebound, but the trend cannot be reversed. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are continuously expanding in the negative zone, and the short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are clearly diverging downward, indicating no bottom formation. The RSI across all periods (6/12/14/24) remains in oversold or extremely weak zones, indicating persistent selling pressure and that short-term rebounds are unlikely to sustain. The KDJ indicator is oscillating at low levels, with the J-value lacking signs of a quick rebound after being oversold. The DMI's dmi_minus is 30.98, significantly higher than dmi_plus at 10.31, and the ADX is high, signifying a weak market with a clear and sustained downtrend. The active buy-sell ratio remains sluggish; major holders' long positions may be passively held, and both candlestick patterns and fund flows and indicators do not support a 'long' stance. It is anticipated that within the 15-minute timeframe, ETHUSDT will continue to seek a bottom, with the extremely weak market possibly pushing prices down to the previous low range of 3515-3555. If oversold conditions are met and funds briefly intervene, rebounds will likely be limited. In summary, trading strategies should avoid chasing short-term longs; instead, wait for extreme oversold conditions coupled with price-volume synchronization before considering low-buy entries for rebounds, with strict stop-loss measures to manage risks.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 01, 2025 19:11
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2032
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.