Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3750-3770
Mark Price
3782.87
Actual Price
3792.56
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a pronounced downtrend. The price has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, approaching the lower band at 3781.48, demonstrating strong bearish momentum. In the RSI indicator, RSI6 has reached an extreme oversold level of 15.0472, but RSI14 remains at 32.7237, suggesting that although the short-term is oversold, the overall downward trend remains unchanged. The MACD indicator shows a full bearish signal, with the DIF line at a deep negative value and significantly diverged from the DEA line. In the KDJ indicator, the J line at -1.9856 has broken below zero, which is a typical strong sell signal. The K and D lines are both in low positions but still have room to move further downward. Looking at the moving average system, the current price is below all short-term moving averages, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 forming a bearish alignment, indicating obvious short-term resistance. Market sentiment analysis reveals that the active buy-sell ratio is 0.8620, indicating substantial selling pressure. Although the large traders' long-short positions ratio is 3.0628, showing a slight bias towards longs, there may be a lag, and the current technical signals are more directly bearish. Support level analysis: The first support (S1) is at 3770.01, and the second support (S2) is at 3728.36. Considering the strong bearish signals, the price is likely to test the support at around 3770. Operational advice: It is suggested to short in the 3785-3790 range, targeting 3750-3770, with a stop loss set above 3810. If the price breaks below the 3770 support, it may further test the 3728 support level. Risk reminder: Although RSI6 is severely oversold, in a strong downtrend, overselling may persist. Close attention should be paid to the behavior around the 3770 support; if this level receives effective support along with increased trading volume, a technical rebound may occur.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Jul 30, 2025 09:54
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1950
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.