Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3728-3770
Mark Price
3779.7
Actual Price
3784.69
Prediction Result
In the recent 15-minute K-line for ETHUSDT, a clear short-term pullback has occurred, with the price consecutively breaking through multiple short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20). The moving averages are also showing signs of turning downward, with all short-term MAs operating above the current price, forming resistance. The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price is operating near the lower band, with the percent_b being negative, signifying a weak market condition and no signs of stabilization, with a risk of further decline at any time. The overall range is expected to oscillate below the Bollinger Bands, with limited wide-range volatility, and a short-term downward movement in space. The MACD dead cross continues to widen, with increasing green bars, combined with a low RSI (RSI6 at 33, RSI12 at only 28), indicating that the bears are dominant, and the probability of a significant rebound is very low. The J value of KDJ is at -4.54, with both K and D below the 25-40 range, reflecting an extremely weak market with insufficient momentum, and a lack of strength in short-term rebounds. The 24-hour trading volume and turnover are relatively amplified, but the active buy-sell ratio is close to 0.8, suggesting panic exit positions, which is conducive to the price continuing to seek a bottom. Although the large traders’ long/short position ratio is high (3.05), combined with recent K-line trends, it is more likely passive defense rather than active accumulation, indicating that short-term capital is clearly shifting towards defensive posture. Volatility is relatively low (0.0023), and ATR is decreasing, indicating limited space for shorting but persistent downward premiums. It is expected that the price will short-term test support levels S1 (3770) and S2 (3728). Within this range, minor weak rebounds may occur, but will not constitute trend reversals. Considering the current short-term trend and indicator signals, ETHUSDT is expected to predominantly decline over the next 15 minutes. It is recommended to short on rallies and continue to follow the bearish trend as short-term rebounds lack strength. If the price falls below 3728, caution is warranted for a further dip toward the 3700 level, with resistance in the rebound near 3800. Operationally, it is advised to sell high and buy low, with an overall holding bias towards short positions.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 30, 2025 09:44
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1947
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.