Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
3575-3615
Mark Price
3640.68
Actual Price
3644.32
Prediction Result
The ETHUSDT 15m chart reveals recent failed upside attempts and breakdowns from the $3700-3680 cluster, with price now stabilizing near $3640 (approximately the lower Bollinger zone and prior support). The structure shows lower highs and weak bounce attempts, characteristic of bearish consolidation. Technical indicators do not support a robust reversal: MACD remains negative, Bollinger Band width is low, and RSI retraced from overbought without confirming bottom. DMI/ADX suggest continued strong bearish trend and lack of reversal energy. Exchange metrics highlight a divergence between whale optimism and actual flow—whales remain net long, but buy/sell and account ratios point to fading bullish conviction at the retail level. This is often a precursor to stop-loss hunting liquidity down to the next supports. Intraday volatility remains moderate. Historical volume bars align with selling spikes at local highs, supporting further softening unless rejected firmly at key supports. Strategy: Short-term, anticipate ETHUSDT to retest support at 3616-3575 (S2/S3). Only aggressive reversal candles from this zone—paired with renewed buy-side volume—would negate the bearish view. Risk management: Stop-loss for shorts placed above $3667 (MA50 + last swing high). Bulls should only consider tactical long entries if clear demand emerges at $3575, with strict stops below $3550. Summary: High-confidence short bias for next 15m-1h session as uptrend has broken, indicators remain bearish, and structural supports are still to be tested.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 25, 2025 18:12
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1853
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.