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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 25, 2025 17:32
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3570-3640

Mark Price

3633.81

Actual Price

3637.22

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b at 0.336067 and price hugging lower-mid band suggests weak momentum with risk of downside breakdown.
  • MACD histogram negative (dif -14.42, macd -2.56) indicating persistent bearish pressure without reversal confirmation.
  • RSI(14) at 34.42 and RSI(24) at 34.94 reflect weak underlying strength, close to oversold but lacking reversal divergence.
  • Moving averages (MA5 3635.17, MA10 3632.09) below MA20/MA50/MA200, confirming short-term bearish alignment.
  • ADX at 34.29 with DMI- (27.02) above DMI+ (12.06), indicating active downtrend despite relatively low volatility (ATR 23.32).
  • Buy/sell and account ratios (buy/sell 1.18, long/short accounts 1.60, top positions long/short 3.53) signal ongoing long bias, but failure to lift price implies distribution or ineffective bullish conviction.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT 15m chart shows sustained downward pressure with price rebounding weakly from support zones. Repeated lower highs and failure to reclaim key MAs signifies continuation of existing bearish trend. Bollinger Bands bandwidth is contracting after expansion, and price remains skewed to the lower half, showing persistent selling with reduced volatility that often precedes breakdowns. MACD and moving averages remain in full bearish configuration—no bullish cross or divergence, and support levels S1 at 3616.53 and S2 at 3570.13 are in play for the next leg lower. RSI values are not yet at extreme oversold but are weakening, supporting further leg down before a rebound emerges. Stochastic J at 81 could suggest snapbacks, but overall trend bias remains negative. Despite risk-on signals from whale/top account ratios, the inability to reclaim 3650+ and failure at short-term resistance points (middle band 3654, MA20 3654) highlight selling on rallies. Forecast: Expect retest of supports 3617 (S1) and 3570 (S2) in next 1-3 candles, with chance of intraday consolidative bounces. Any sustained close below S1 raises 3570 target. Stop-loss for new shorts above 3672-3680. Risk management: Choppy, decreasing volatility may yield sharp moves; tighten risk if upside reversals occur. Prepare for quick partial profit-taking near S1/S2 levels. Wait for confirmation of reversal before switching bias. Bottom line: Downtrend persists unless break/close above middle Bollinger (3654) or fast MA cluster. Most probable short-term target is 3570-3640 range.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(44.5736) rsi12(47.673) rsi14(34.4196)
  • MACD:dif(-14.4211) dea(-13.1387) macd(-2.5648)
  • MA:ma5(3635.17) ma10(3635.17) ma20(3654.19)
  • Boll:up(3716.59) mid(3654.19) down(3591.79)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7715099.783 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.42%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6008
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 25, 2025 17:32

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1851

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.