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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 25, 2025 07:47
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3580-3610

Mark Price

3612.11

Actual Price

3645.02

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger percent_b is 0.3854, with the price near the lower band, showing no clear upward breakout momentum.
  • MA5 and MA10 are below MA20 and MA200; the short-term moving averages have a death cross, pressuring the price downward.
  • Although MACD shows a rebound, DIF and DEA remain in the negative zone, indicating the trend lacks a clear upward reversal; weak oscillation dominates.
  • RSI6 is 39.68 and RSI12 is 36.10, both in the weak zone, with limited bullish strength.
  • KDJ J value is -7.83, and K/D values are also low, indicating short-term oversold conditions but insufficient rebound signals.
  • DMI- (24.36) exceeds DMI+; ADX is above 20, suggesting that downward momentum is dominant and the trend has a certain strength.
  • The long-short account ratio and large account holdings are skewed towards longs, but active buy-sell ratio is only 0.65, indicating weaker capital dominance; the market remains susceptible to bearish dominance.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT exhibits a clear short-term weakness zone, with continuous downward candlestick formation. The short-term moving average has crossed below the longer-term moving average, exerting resistance on price rebound. Although the MACD shows a phase of shrinking green bars, no significant reversal signal has appeared. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands area does not provide reliable support; the price nears the lower band, and the percent_b value is on the lower side, indicating that the short-term direction is more inclined to decline rather than reverse. Both RSI and KDJ indicate oversold conditions but lack rebound momentum, showing weak bullish willingness. After a brief bounce, the market is likely to continue testing lower levels. From a market structure perspective, large account holdings are tilted towards long positions, but this mainly reflects bottom-faking or stabilization expectations. Active buying is limited, and short-term suppression is evident. Volatility and ATR indicate recent narrowing of price fluctuations; however, with ADX rising, the trend is intensifying. Short-term amplitude may expand, with a higher probability of the price testing the S1 support level at 3580. Considering the nearly 400 fifteen-minute candles, the weak trend channel has not been effectively broken. After a short-term dip, if volume decreases to halt declines, attention should be paid to rebound signals; if the S1 support at 3580 is broken, the target could be around 3525. For short-term trading, caution is advised. It is suitable to observe or hold light short positions at high levels. Focus on the 3580-3610 area; if the price significantly breaks below 3575, be alert to the risk of further increased downside volume.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(39.6753) rsi12(36.1007) rsi14(54.5696)
  • MACD:dif(-10.3263) dea(-12.5951) macd(4.5377)
  • MA:ma5(3624.67) ma10(3624.67) ma20(3619.52)
  • Boll:up(3652.05) mid(3619.52) down(3586.98)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8408473.523 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.45%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5608
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 25, 2025 07:47

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1835

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.