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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 23, 2025 13:57
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3525-3588

Mark Price

3598.41

Actual Price

3586.65

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Current price (3598.41) has broken below the lower Bollinger Band (3614.96), indicating an obvious downward trend.
  • Bollinger Band indicator percent_b is at -0.209131, with the price significantly deviating below the lower band, suggesting a short-term overshoot but lacking signs of stabilization.
  • The MACD remains in a sustained negative state (dif -16.33, dea -12.16, macd -8.339) with no reversal signals, dominated by bearish momentum.
  • Multi-period RSI remains very low (RSI6 only 18.39, RSI14 at 34.54), in an extreme oversold zone, but rebound signals are not yet strong.
  • The J value of the KDJ indicator is at 7.99, extremely low, with no obvious turning point, indicating short-term weakness and sideways oscillation.
  • The DMI indicates bearish dominance (dmi_minus 37.83 significantly greater than dmi_plus 8.86), with an ADX at 41.58 showing a strong trend.
  • Active buy versus sell ratio is 0.7011, reflecting market passivity and dominant selling pressure, with more sell orders.
  • While large traders’ holdings are somewhat bullish, the downward phase easily triggers stop-loss cascades, showing insufficient momentum for reversal in the short term.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT 15-minute level K-line has been continuously declining from the high position, with the price falling below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a clear short-term weakness, with bears maintaining dominance and no effective sign of stabilization found. The MACD remains in negative territory with expanding divergence, showing no signs of a bullish crossover; the momentum continues downward. Meanwhile, the RSI6/14 is significantly below the median line and lacks clear rebound strength, indicating a combination of panic sentiment and selling pressure. The J value in the KDJ indicator approaches the oversold limit. Although a rebound could theoretically occur, the current market has not exhibited candlestick patterns indicating a decline halting or stabilizing; therefore, it is not advisable to chase the rebound at this time. The DMI indicator shows that the bears have absolute dominance, with the ADX remaining high, indicating a strong and persistent downtrend with potential for sudden drops or shakes triggering further decline. Support levels are expected in the 3525-3588 range (S1, S2), only 1-2% away from the current price. If the price touches around 3525 or shows large shadow candles during trading, then consider oversold rebound signals; otherwise, avoid counter-trend rebounds. Although large traders hold more long positions, the active buy orders and the number of accounts do not support a strong rebound. Market sentiment shows significant disagreement between bulls and bears; the short-term trend remains to follow the momentum. Trading advice: do not pursue short positions here. If holding short positions, consider taking partial profits around 3525. Those without positions should observe cautiously and avoid blindly bottom-fishing. Short-term trading should wait for clear signs of trend stabilization and volume confirmation before considering long entries. Risk warning: if the 3525-3588 range cannot be maintained, a new wave of accelerated decline will likely ensue. Do not hold full positions aggressively; managing position size is prioritized.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(18.3889) rsi12(31.5674) rsi14(34.5424)
  • MACD:dif(-16.3256) dea(-12.156) macd(-8.339)
  • MA:ma5(3632.3) ma10(3632.3) ma20(3655.42)
  • Boll:up(3695.88) mid(3655.42) down(3614.96)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6537045.370 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.47%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6589
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 23, 2025 13:57

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1778

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.