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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 23, 2025 10:07
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3620-3650

Mark Price

3656.87

Actual Price

3656.56

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is near the lower Bollinger Band, and the percent_b is 0.12, indicating increased downward pressure.
  • Both dif and dea lines in the MACD are negative, with the MACD histogram also negative, demonstrating that bearish momentum remains dominant.
  • RSI across all periods is significantly below 50, with the short-term RSI6 at only 36, reflecting market weakness.
  • All three KDJ lines are in the low region, with the J-value approaching extremely low levels, indicating a bearish momentum.
  • The MA system’s bullish arrangement has been broken; the short-term MAs (MA5, MA10, MA20) are all below MA50 and MA200, showing a bearish alignment.
  • In the DMI indicator, DMI- is significantly higher than DMI+, and with an ADX of 32, the trend is strong and bearish.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is only 0.75, indicating weak active buying interest.
  • Although the large traders’ long-short ratio favors the long side, price inconsistency with the indicators suggests that capital has not yet formed a cohesive force.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The Bollinger Bands indicate that the current price is near the lower band edge, but there has been no significant increase in volume accompanying the decline, suggesting a short-term inertia towards downward movement. The percent_b value is only 0.12, implying that the price remains within the lower region of the Bollinger Bands. If it cannot quickly stabilize, there is a higher risk of further probing towards support levels below. The MACD indicates a strong bearish atmosphere, with dif and dea lines moving downward in sync, and the histogram bars enlarging, showing that the bearish momentum has not yet exhausted, making a direct reversal unlikely at this point. The RSI indicator reflects that both overall market activity and buying momentum are relatively weak. There is no overbought condition nor signs of rebound; short-term downside pressure persists. All three lines of the KDJ are in the low range, suggesting limited short-term rebound potential. Although it signals oversold conditions in the short cycle, the upward repair volume is insufficient, and the downward inertia continues. The moving average system is primarily arranged in a bearish configuration, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all below MA50, and these are far from MA200, indicating a weak overall trend. The DMI indicator shows that the bears dominate, with ADX exceeding 30, indicating that the current decline is relatively strong, characterized by weak recovery and a powerful trend. From the perspective of order flow funds and large traders, although the long-short ratio is somewhat bullish, the active buying desire is very weak, indicating capital disagreement. This prevents trend reversal and makes short-term downward movement more probable. Overall, ETHUSDT remains predominantly on the downside in the short term. The next 15-minute cycle is expected to test the previous low support zone around 3620-3650. Only after indicators form bottom divergence or volume expands and stabilizes should a rebound be considered. Aggressive traders may temporarily follow with a light short position.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(36.4748) rsi12(33.5023) rsi14(35.7802)
  • MACD:dif(-15.7244) dea(-13.4399) macd(-4.569)
  • MA:ma5(3661.9) ma10(3661.9) ma20(3684.28)
  • Boll:up(3720.95) mid(3684.28) down(3647.61)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6269898.608 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.29%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6323
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 23, 2025 10:07

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1767

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.