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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 23, 2025 10:06
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

3616-3647

Mark Price

3657.38

Actual Price

3658.45

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The price is located near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with percent_b at only 0.11, indicating significant downward pressure.
  • The moving average system (MA5, MA10, MA20) is below the long-term averages (MA50, MA200), with short-term moving averages arranged in a bearish alignment.
  • RSI6 is at 36.03 and RSI14 at 35.54, both in weak zones, with insufficient volume and no signs of rebound.
  • MACD indicators DIF and DEA are both negative, with the MACD histogram bars continuing to enlarge, suggesting persistent weakness.
  • The J value of KDJ is only 12.2, and both K and D are weak, indicating low momentum.
  • DMI shows -DI at 29.5 significantly higher than +DI at 11.8, with an ADX of 32, confirming a clear downtrend.
  • Although the main force's long-short ratio remains high (2.86), the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.74, reflecting insufficient actual buying enthusiasm.
  • Support at S1 (3620) is likely to be tested further if broken, with potential decline toward S2.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The 15-minute candlestick chart displays a declining trend following consolidation, with recent prices continuously breaking below short-term moving averages such as MA5 and MA10, and the MA system exhibiting a generally bearish alignment. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands at approximately 3647 serves as the primary support level. A percent_b value of 0.11 indicates the price is within the lower side of the Bollinger channel, signifying strong weakness and a short-term inertial downward impulse. Both RSI and KDJ indicators are in weak, low positions, suggesting that the prevailing momentum favors downward movement and lacks any rebound signals. MACD and DMI metrics corroborate that the bearish momentum remains dominant. Although the long and short positions held by major traders remain high, actual active buy-sell ratios are relatively low, and there is no significant increase in large-volume transactions, indicating that the main market participants are not strongly engaged. A brief rebound is unlikely to stabilize, and the price is more prone to further declines. Support levels S1 (3620) and S2 (3616) serve as short-term supports. Breaking these levels could lead to an exploration of S3 at approximately 3536. Traders should avoid reckless bottom fishing and be cautious of inertial downward risks. Overall, the ETH/USDT 15-minute timeframe demonstrates a clear downtrend. It is expected that the price will test the support zone between 3647 and 3616 in the short term. The recommended approach is to observe or reduce positions on rallies. Should S2 be broken, further downside pressure must be anticipated.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(36.0343) rsi12(33.2559) rsi14(35.5381)
  • MACD:dif(-15.785) dea(-13.452) macd(-4.666)
  • MA:ma5(3661.75) ma10(3661.75) ma20(3684.24)
  • Boll:up(3721.03) mid(3684.24) down(3647.46)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6270380.868 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.29%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6323
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 23, 2025 10:06

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1766

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.