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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 22, 2025 04:51
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 84%

Target Price

3640-3680

Mark Price

3683.25

Actual Price

3679.2

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3683.25 has fallen to the lower Bollinger Band, with percent_b at 0.02, approaching the oversold zone, and no clear signs of stabilization in the short term.
  • The MACD indicator (dif: -17.13, macd: -14.01) shows significant divergence, with strong bearish momentum, and no reversal divergence has emerged.
  • Multi-period RSI (rsi6: 22.82, rsi12: 12.57, rsi14: 35.12) is clearly oversold, with substantial selling pressure and no signs of bottoming divergence.
  • The KDJ indicator is in oversold territory (K: 10.26, D: 19.78, J: -8.76), with momentum not yet rebounding.
  • The moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are all downward-sloping, and the price has significantly broken below all these averages, indicating a strong bearish arrangement.
  • Volume has steadily increased without abnormal shrinking, indicating insufficient rebound strength.
  • Although the large holdings' long-short ratio is high (2.4606), the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.6018, suggesting substantial long-side engagement by major funds but insufficient support, which still favors active selling from bears.
  • Volatility indicators (ATR: 23.39, DMI-: 32.35, ADX: 22.97) show a prevailing bearish trend with persistent downward momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

In the 15-minute short-term candlestick chart of ETHUSDT, the price has gradually broken below the MA20, MA50, and other moving averages, with multiple moving average bands exerting resistance from above, indicating a clear bearish control. During the recent decline, trading volume has remained high without significant volume decrease, and buying support from bulls is not prominent. All major momentum indicators (MACD, RSI, KDJ) are simultaneously oversold without V-shaped reversal or rebound divergence signals, reflecting a mostly bearish market sentiment with inertia downward. The lower Bollinger Band at 3679.51 is very close to the support level at 3680 (S1), and the confluence support is easily broken in a short-term dip. Without an increase in trading volume to reverse bullish momentum, breaking below this level could lead to a test of the next support zone around 3640 (based on ATR volatility and previous lows). From the perspective of long and short positions and large institutional holdings, the funding rate is slightly positive, indicating some major players are attempting to gamble on a short-term rebound. However, market-driven buying is very low, making a short-term surging increase unlikely, and bears are controlling the pace. Overall, ETHUSDT is likely to continue its inertia of price decline in the short term, with expectations of a downward oscillation within the 15-minute cycle, targeting the range of 3640-3680, while remaining cautious of a faster drop if it breaks below 3640. Regarding trading strategies, it is advisable to cautiously chase short positions in the short term, or to wait and observe, as the effectiveness of very short-term low buys for rebounds is limited; if bullish volume cannot be quickly released below 3680 and move upwards, the risk of a breakdown exceeding the rebound opportunity is high. Stop-loss should be set below 3620. At this stage, rebound momentum is very weak, and the downward trend has not ended. Investors are advised to strictly control their positions, mainly remain short-term bearish, and patiently wait for confirmation signals of stabilization before entering the market.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(22.8261) rsi12(12.5778) rsi14(35.1185)
  • MACD:dif(-17.1366) dea(-10.1318) macd(-14.0096)
  • MA:ma5(3704.4) ma10(3704.4) ma20(3739.18)
  • Boll:up(3798.84) mid(3739.18) down(3679.51)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7381493.873 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.44%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4752
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 22, 2025 04:51

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1699

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.