Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT is currently in a weak downward phase on the 15-minute cycle; all core technical indicators are uniformly bearish, with no clear rebound signals. The price has fallen near the lower Bollinger Band and is moving below various moving averages, indicating a dominant bearish trend in the market. Oscillators such as RSI, MACD, and KDJ are all showing extreme oversold conditions without signs of reversal upward, suggesting short-term inertia towards further decline and that selling pressure has not been fully released. Trading volume is substantial but predominantly from active selling, reflecting a market panic and flight to safety. The current active buy-to-sell ratio is 0.6018, still indicating a leaning towards selling. Funding rates are relatively low, but market confidence in bullish positioning remains weak. According to long and short position data, large traders are holding a relatively bullish ratio (2.46), but the current long positions are largely passive and trapped, failing to generate a reversal drive. Short-term account ratios should not be solely relied upon to gauge market sentiment; awaiting indicator recovery is necessary. Support and resistance levels show that the current price is approaching S1 (3680). A breakdown could lead to testing S2 (3561.13), with a short-term target range of 3640-3680; rebound strength is limited. It is recommended to maintain a bearish outlook in the short term and avoid contrarian bottom-fishing. If the price falls below 3680, further downside targets should be considered. Trading strategy: Maintain a short-term bearish position, set take-profit targets in the 3640-3680 range, and place stop-loss above the MA5/MA10 levels (approximately 3705-3720) to manage risk.