Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT is currently trading between the lower band and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands; the Percent B is only 0.16, indicating that the downward probing trend has not yet ended, and short-term rebound momentum is weak. The moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, with the price remaining below MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50. As of the 15-minute timeframe, the market is in a clear downtrend. All key values of the MACD indicator are negative, with no signs of bullish divergence, suggesting limited short-term rebound strength. RSI values across all periods are generally below 50, especially RSI6 approaching the oversold extreme of 26. Although there is some expectation of a rebound, the primary trend has not reversed, and downward risk should be monitored. The KDJ indicator is very weak, with all three lines near the ‘oversold’ zone; the J line is extremely low, showing a very evident technical weakness. The DMI indicator's -DI (>31) significantly exceeds +DI (15), and the ADX has reached 26.79, above 25, indicating that the bearish trend is strengthening, making the continuation of the downward move highly probable. From the perspective of large account long and short positions and overall account structure, longs are still dominant (position ratio >2, account ratio >1), but the market shows weakness with price action, and active buying does not support the market (active buy/sell ratio is only 0.72), suggesting that major long positions are in floating loss, reducing the motivation for adding positions. This may instead exert downward pressure. Volume and turnover data indicate that bear sentiment dominates, with negative amplitude and high trading volume. Active short-sell funds remain engaged in the short-term, so caution is advised for inertial declines. Based on the overall candlestick pattern, the market's short-term downward momentum is strong, with an expected test of support at S1 (3680) and the lower Bollinger Band (3713) within the next 15 minutes. A break below 3680 would lead to an immediate test of S2 (3632). Although oversold conditions may result in slight rebounds, the overall outlook suggests weak volatility and suggests avoiding blind bottoms.