Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3680-3715
Mark Price
3733.94
Actual Price
3731.62
Prediction Result
The ETHUSDT current 15-minute cycle K-line shows obvious weakness, breaking below all short- to medium-term moving averages (ma5, ma10, ma20, ma50, all above the current price), exhibiting a typical one-sided bearish arrangement, indicating that the bulls are weak and short-term reversal signals are absent. The Bollinger Bands' percent_b is only 0.14, with the price near the lower band and no signs of oversold rebound; combined with an amplitude of -0.818 and the three MACD indicators continuing downward, the short-term weakness is extremely prominent, and the market is highly likely to test lower support levels in the near future. RSI across multiple periods remains below 40, especially RSI6 at extreme oversold levels. Although oversold conditions suggest a potential rebound in theory, the combination of shrinking volume and main force capitalization indicates that rebound potential is limited, and the bears still hold the advantage. The KDJ indicator is in a dull state at the bottom and shows no obvious golden cross signs; combined with the MACD bearish divergence, there is still room for further short-term decline. A reversal can only be anticipated once the K/D line turns upward. The active buy-sell ratio is 0.72, and the large account long-short position ratio is biased toward the longs, typical of a passive defensive position. The poor volume-price relationship indicates the bulls are not actively building positions, and downside pressure remains. The support levels are S1 at 3680 and an extreme support at 3715. In the short term, it is highly probable that the price will find support or oscillate within this range. If unreclaimed, a small rebound may occur; if broken, there is a risk of testing S2 at 3632.05. Overall volatility is low (ATR and volatility are limited), suggesting that even in decline, the market will mainly experience slowdowns and weak rebounds, currently lacking conditions for intense bulls or bears shifts. It is expected that in the next 15 minutes, the price will oscillate and find a bottom around the 3680–3715 range. A break above 3735 would require sustained volume increases to reverse the weak structure. Currently, it is recommended to wait and observe, and consider a rebound only after clear volume-driven stop-loss signals appear below.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 21, 2025 19:45
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1670
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.