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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 19:45
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3680-3715

Mark Price

3733.94

Actual Price

3731.62

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.143277, with the price near the lower band; the overall band width has widened rather than narrowed, indicating continued downside risk.
  • The MACD (dif: -15.26, dea: -10.23, macd: -10.07) all being negative and expanding suggests bearish dominance and no bottoming signals yet.
  • RSI6 is only 26.77, RSI14 also only 38.38, indicating severe overselling; short-term rebounds are possible but without clear reversal signals.
  • The low-positioned KDJ shows a J value of only 13.213; oversold conditions have not produced a reversal golden cross, indicating continued weakness.
  • Active buy-sell ratio and account long-short ratio point to a bullish bias; however, negative amplitude, poor volume-price coordination, and lack of upward momentum imply insufficient buying power.
  • Large account long-short ratio is high, but without active capital involvement, suggesting a passive defensive market stance.
  • The current price has broken below short- and medium-term moving averages (ma5 < ma10 < ma20 < ma50), indicating the bullish structure has been dismantled and support levels need to be tested.
  • Volatility indicators such as ATR and DMI signify a bearish trend, with -DI considerably exceeding +DI; ADX at 26.13 indicates an effective trend strength.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The ETHUSDT current 15-minute cycle K-line shows obvious weakness, breaking below all short- to medium-term moving averages (ma5, ma10, ma20, ma50, all above the current price), exhibiting a typical one-sided bearish arrangement, indicating that the bulls are weak and short-term reversal signals are absent. The Bollinger Bands' percent_b is only 0.14, with the price near the lower band and no signs of oversold rebound; combined with an amplitude of -0.818 and the three MACD indicators continuing downward, the short-term weakness is extremely prominent, and the market is highly likely to test lower support levels in the near future. RSI across multiple periods remains below 40, especially RSI6 at extreme oversold levels. Although oversold conditions suggest a potential rebound in theory, the combination of shrinking volume and main force capitalization indicates that rebound potential is limited, and the bears still hold the advantage. The KDJ indicator is in a dull state at the bottom and shows no obvious golden cross signs; combined with the MACD bearish divergence, there is still room for further short-term decline. A reversal can only be anticipated once the K/D line turns upward. The active buy-sell ratio is 0.72, and the large account long-short position ratio is biased toward the longs, typical of a passive defensive position. The poor volume-price relationship indicates the bulls are not actively building positions, and downside pressure remains. The support levels are S1 at 3680 and an extreme support at 3715. In the short term, it is highly probable that the price will find support or oscillate within this range. If unreclaimed, a small rebound may occur; if broken, there is a risk of testing S2 at 3632.05. Overall volatility is low (ATR and volatility are limited), suggesting that even in decline, the market will mainly experience slowdowns and weak rebounds, currently lacking conditions for intense bulls or bears shifts. It is expected that in the next 15 minutes, the price will oscillate and find a bottom around the 3680–3715 range. A break above 3735 would require sustained volume increases to reverse the weak structure. Currently, it is recommended to wait and observe, and consider a rebound only after clear volume-driven stop-loss signals appear below.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.7744) rsi12(40.2271) rsi14(38.3823)
  • MACD:dif(-15.2626) dea(-10.2254) macd(-10.0744)
  • MA:ma5(3745.36) ma10(3745.36) ma20(3780.14)
  • Boll:up(3844.89) mid(3780.14) down(3715.39)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7322385.526 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.49%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3419
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 19:45

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1670

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.