Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
3680-3730
Mark Price
3732.84
Actual Price
3735.33
Prediction Result
The overall technical indicators show that ETHUSDT on the 15-minute timeframe exhibits a prominent bearish trend, with MACD expanding downward and no signs of bottom divergence. Price and volume movements also do not indicate a significant volume-driven rebound. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing; the current price has broken below the middle band and descended toward the lower band. Based on historical experience, such weakly oscillating structures tend to continue inertia, retracing to the lower Bollinger Band or temporarily stabilizing after a false breakout. Both RSI and KDJ are showing extreme short-term weakness (oversold zone), yet no clear bottom formation has emerged. Typically, such weakness is followed by a chip rotation after breaking support levels (e.g., S1: 3680), leading to converging oscillations again. Trading volume has increased but not to an explosive level, indicating that the main force is not actively absorbing at current levels; short-term rebound potential is limited. While large accounts show a mostly long position structure, their subjective trading behavior (such as active buy-sell ratios <1) does not suggest strong buy-in support. This reflects market participants' anticipation of support testing below. Volatility indicators ATR and DMI display short-term trend strengthening, with a clear bearish advantage. During weak rebound momentum, the immediate targets are the previous support zones at 3680-3730. If broken, subsequent support levels at 3632 or even 3525 are likely to be tested. Operational advice: short-term traders may favor trend-following short positions or cautious observation. Aggressive traders can consider partial profit-taking within the 3700-3730 range. If the price breaks below 3680, it may be appropriate to increase short positions. A strict stop-loss is recommended at the Bollinger middle band or above 3750 to prevent sudden rebounds.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 21, 2025 19:43
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1669
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.