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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 19:43
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3680-3730

Mark Price

3732.84

Actual Price

3735.33

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current ETH price has broken below the Bollinger Band middle band and is approaching the lower band. The Bollinger %b is only 0.13, indicating a clear bearish sentiment.
  • RSI6 is at 26.41, and RSI12/14 are both below 40, suggesting that both short-term and medium short-term momentum are in oversold territory, implying weak rebound strength.
  • MACD remains in a bearish zone, with dif and dea both negative, and the MACD histogram at -10.26 continuing to expand, reinforcing bearish momentum.
  • KDJ lines are trending downward, with J value only at 11.77, indicating ongoing downward inertia without signs of stabilizing.
  • DMI+ is at 15.35, DMI- at 32.10, and ADX at 26.13, emphasizing that bearish momentum dominates and the trend is relatively strong.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.72, suggesting that market leaders are leaned toward active selling, and short-term rebound efforts are weak.
  • Although large traders' long positions are slightly favored, they are likely locked-in positions or in a short-cycle passive state, not driving a short-term reversal.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The overall technical indicators show that ETHUSDT on the 15-minute timeframe exhibits a prominent bearish trend, with MACD expanding downward and no signs of bottom divergence. Price and volume movements also do not indicate a significant volume-driven rebound. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing; the current price has broken below the middle band and descended toward the lower band. Based on historical experience, such weakly oscillating structures tend to continue inertia, retracing to the lower Bollinger Band or temporarily stabilizing after a false breakout. Both RSI and KDJ are showing extreme short-term weakness (oversold zone), yet no clear bottom formation has emerged. Typically, such weakness is followed by a chip rotation after breaking support levels (e.g., S1: 3680), leading to converging oscillations again. Trading volume has increased but not to an explosive level, indicating that the main force is not actively absorbing at current levels; short-term rebound potential is limited. While large accounts show a mostly long position structure, their subjective trading behavior (such as active buy-sell ratios <1) does not suggest strong buy-in support. This reflects market participants' anticipation of support testing below. Volatility indicators ATR and DMI display short-term trend strengthening, with a clear bearish advantage. During weak rebound momentum, the immediate targets are the previous support zones at 3680-3730. If broken, subsequent support levels at 3632 or even 3525 are likely to be tested. Operational advice: short-term traders may favor trend-following short positions or cautious observation. Aggressive traders can consider partial profit-taking within the 3700-3730 range. If the price breaks below 3680, it may be appropriate to increase short positions. A strict stop-loss is recommended at the Bollinger middle band or above 3750 to prevent sudden rebounds.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.4166) rsi12(39.9376) rsi14(38.1215)
  • MACD:dif(-15.3823) dea(-10.2494) macd(-10.2658)
  • MA:ma5(3745.06) ma10(3745.06) ma20(3780.06)
  • Boll:up(3845.03) mid(3780.06) down(3715.09)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7315101.222 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.49%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3419
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 19:43

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1669

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.