Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Currently, ETHUSDT has been continuously fluctuating downward within the 15-minute cycle, with the price approaching the lower Bollinger Band. Coupled with a very low Percent B (0.097), the short-term trend appears fragile. The MACD remains negative, and both key components are continuously declining without signs of convergence, indicating the bearish trend persists. The RSI for periods 6, 12, 14, and 24 all remain below 40, with RSI6 approaching oversold conditions, yet no rebound is observed, indicating a clear present weakness in price. The moving average system is in a weak formation: MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50, with the current price below all short-term moving averages, reflecting insufficient market confidence. In the KDJ indicator, the J line is extremely low, and both K and D lines show no signs of stabilizing or reversing upward; the short-term movement is predominantly downward inertia. In the DMI (Directional Movement Index), the negative DI significantly exceeds the positive DI, and the ADX is above 26, confirming a strong and effective bearish trend. High trading volume and increased volatility suggest heightened trading sentiment, yet prices remain under pressure, with bearish capital pressure exceeding that of the bulls. Support point S1 (3680) is very close to the current price. A short-term break below this level could lead to further testing of S2 (3632). If a quick rebound does not occur, there is a risk of the consolidation zone moving downward. Although the buy-sell ratio and position ratios favor the bulls, and the large account long-short ratio is extremely high, caution is warranted as profit-taking by bullish accounts may trigger a rapid decline. In the short term, maintain a bearish outlook with active profit-taking within the target range of 3680-3720. If S1 is breached, risk control is essential, and one should avoid blindly bottom-fishing. Consider rebounding only after clear indicators stabilize or stable K-line structures emerge.