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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 11:56
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3815-3840

Mark Price

3812.92

Actual Price

3799.41

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3812.92 is near the upper Bollinger Band (upper_band: 3822.1), but has not broken through. The Percent_B value is approximately 0.837927, indicating short-term upward potential.
  • MACD continues to expand (dif: 10.7242, dea: 8.2169, macd: 5.0146), demonstrating that the bullish trend has not diminished.
  • RSI6 is at 80.8705, in overbought territory, but RSI14 is only 54.9051, indicating medium-term momentum is not extremely overheated.
  • The J-value of KDJ (78.0612) exceeds K and D, suggesting possible short-term strength with potential divergence, though the upward trend indicated by the candlesticks remains more probable.
  • Large institutional positions show a long-biased holding ratio of 2.5250, compared to retail accounts at 1.5176, highlighting a clear bullish dominance of funds.
  • Moving Averages are aligned in bullish order: MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA50 > MA200, signifying a stable bullish trend.
  • The DMI+ at 30.0433 is significantly higher than DMI- at 11.7505, and the ADX is also elevated, indicating strong upward momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on candlestick formation and volume trend analysis, ETHUSDT has shown a moderate volume increase with upward movement in the recent phase. After a brief pullback for confirmation, it has once again attempted to reach new highs, indicating a high level of market activity. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands has not been effectively broken through yet, but since the price remains at a high level with a bandwidth of approximately 0.016124, overall volatility has not spiked to extremes, implying that bullish market sentiment remains rational. The MACD has continued to expand after the gold cross, with the red histogram bars increasing. Combined with the moving average alignment, there are no clear reversal signals, suggesting a high probability of the current bullish trend continuing. The short-term RSI6 shows overbought conditions, but RSI14 has not exceeded 70, indicating possible short-term oscillation with limited pullback. The main trend remains dominated by active trading volume. The KDJ J-value is relatively high, warranting caution for short-term selling pressure, but no clear downward signals are observed. Coupled with large institutional buying activity, this indicates a strong preference for long positions. Support and resistance levels indicate R1 at 3826; a breakout above this level could lead to a test around 3840, otherwise, the price is likely to consolidate between 3815 and 3820 before moving higher. S1 support is relatively distant, and the pullback pressure is limited. Overall assessment: within the 15-minute timeframe, the primary upward momentum remains intact. After a short-term pullback, there is a high probability of another upward attempt. A reasonable profit-taking zone is suggested between 3815 and 3840, with a support zone around 3760-3780.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(80.8705) rsi12(66.3726) rsi14(54.9051)
  • MACD:dif(10.7242) dea(8.2169) macd(5.0146)
  • MA:ma5(3812.34) ma10(3812.34) ma20(3791.53)
  • Boll:up(3822.1) mid(3791.53) down(3760.96)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6816442.400 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.28%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2193
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 11:56

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1597

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.