Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT 15-minute cycle recently experienced a significant rally before entering a consolidation and fluctuation phase. Based on candlestick charts and historical volatility, after a high-level retracement, support is at approximately 3550, with resistance near the upper Bollinger Band around 3590-3595. The Bollinger Bands are converging, with percent_b only at 0.33, and the price generally running close to the midline, lacking a clear unidirectional divergence pattern, implying a high probability of oscillation. The MACD remains negative but without signs of a sharp decline, indicating limited bearish momentum and primarily a correction through consolidation. Market sentiment remains divided, with large traders holding evidently more long positions than short positions, and the account ratio exceeding 1; however, active buying and selling behaviors and ordinary accounts’ actions suggest short-term hesitation, indicating a clear struggle between main forces. RSI and KDJ in the lower zones are showing signs of recovery, volume remains moderate, making a sustained trend unlikely in the short term. The support and resistance structure is clear. S1, MA50, and MA200 form a short-term defensive zone around 3550-3535. Resistance at approximately 3600 has become an obstacle. A breakdown below S1 would trigger stop-loss orders from the bulls, while breaking above R1 requires volume-price coordination; currently, there is no substantial capital driven momentum. Short-term trading strategies should focus on high-volume sell-high buy-low tactics, suitable for range arbitrage. Aggressive traders might consider long positions around 3535-3545, with take-profit targets near 3590-3595. If prices break below 3535 in intraday trading, decisive stop-loss actions are necessary; breaking above 3595 should prompt attention to capital influx signals from bulls. Overall, the outlook for the next 15 minutes suggests mainly oscillation within the 3535-3595 range. Despite the long positions slightly exceeding shorts, trading momentum is weak, and volatility has notably decreased. It is advisable to wait for new major force signals before making decisive moves; chasing rallies or falling prices should be avoided.