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Binance ETHUSDT 12h Trend Prediction

Nov 21, 2025 14:28
12h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

2486-2691

Mark Price

2723.63

Actual Price

2755.21

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 2723.63 is approaching the lower Bollinger Band at 2691.63, with percent_b only at 0.0376, indicating extreme weakness and no signs of stabilization.
  • RSI6 is 7.66, and RSI14 is only 30.08, both in severely oversold territory with no rebound momentum evident.
  • MACD shows continuous expansion of negative values (DIF -179, DEA -149, MACD -59), indicating very strong downward momentum and a clear bearish trend.
  • KDJ indicators are all low (K 20.83, D 27.02, J 8.46), suggesting extreme short-term weakness with no reversal signals.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is 0.87; although bullish accounts are in the majority, the extremely low financing rate and large account holdings during big declines suggest possible passive lock-in positions, with large account short holdings and number of accounts far exceeding active buy/sell ratios.
  • Amplitude is -9.506, indicating an extremely sharp decline market; large account short positioning further confirms dominant selling behavior among major players.
  • ADX stands at 41.61, with DMI negative at 34.51 significantly higher than positive at 8.25, illustrating a strongly bearish trend.
  • Trading volume is enormous, with obvious selling pressure, making it difficult to anticipate stabilization or bounce efforts in the near term.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive indicators including Bollinger Bands, MACD, RSI, and KDJ show that ETHUSDT is currently in a state of extreme overselling and a prolonged downward trend, with no clear reversal signs. The price has fallen below the lower Bollinger Band, with the percent_b indicator being very low, indicating pessimistic market sentiment and inertial decline. MACD trend is continuously amplifying negative values, with DIF and DEA both sharply crossing below zero, indicating a very strong bearish trend. RSI across multiple timeframes remains in the severely oversold zone, without a bottom in sight, and no phase rebound signals are present. All KDJ indicators are in the low range, with the J line making an extreme downward move, suggesting current market dominance by sellers and potential further downside space. Trading volume and price decline have significantly expanded, indicating ongoing capital outflows. Although the number of bullish and bearish accounts is relatively high, the extremely low active buying ratio and large account holdings suggest that major funds are predominantly short, possibly due to forced lock-in positions causing passive longs to be abnormally high. Support and resistance levels indicate current support zones are between 2486 and 2691; if support cannot be maintained, there is room for further decline towards the 2111–2486 range. Volatility and ATR are elevated, with the short-term downward move carrying the risk of rapid extension. As no obvious rebound signal has emerged, it is forecasted that the downside pressure will persist over the next 12 hours, with target price zones between 2486 and 2691; special attention should be paid to support near 2486 for signs of capital and volume-based stabilization to adjust strategy accordingly. Operational advice: Do not attempt to bottom-fish in the short term; maintain a wait-and-see stance. Conservative traders may consider shorting or rolling over high-level short positions, with stop-loss recommendations set above the Bollinger band middle track at 3115. If the price falls to around 2486, monitor whether capital and volume support a bounce to inform strategic adjustments.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(7.659) rsi12(25.8622) rsi14(30.0791)
  • MACD:dif(-179.1652) dea(-149.2881) macd(-59.7543)
  • MA:ma5(2858.03) ma10(2858.03) ma20(3115.44)
  • Boll:up(3539.26) mid(3115.44) down(2691.63)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:11868256.159 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.92%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.2052
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 21, 2025 14:28

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-12h-forecast-2025-upd4482

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.