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Binance ETHUSDT 10m Trend Prediction

Aug 25, 2025 11:35
10m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4530-4560

Mark Price

4579.12

Actual Price

4591.1

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Within the Bollinger Bands, the current price is close to the lower middle band with a percent_b of only 0.66, lacking upward momentum and risking a downward test of the lower band.
  • The short-term RSI (RSI6=82.38, RSI12=71.1) indicates severe overbought conditions, while RSI14 and RSI24 have already declined, illustrating bullish exhaustion and increased correction pressure.
  • Although MACD remains positive, both DIF and DEA are negative, and the weak rebound shows signs of topping.
  • The J line of the KDJ indicator is at an extreme high (110), in the overbought zone, with a high probability of a correction.
  • Despite the large holder long-short position ratio being highly skewed toward longs (3.8), shrinking volume and an active buy-sell ratio of 0.62 indicate weakening buying momentum.
  • Trading volume has significantly decreased, with volatility, ATR, and DMI all suggesting short-term oscillation with a dominance of shorting (DMI minus > DMI plus).
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the current K-line chart performance, ETHUSDT has retreated from its high point, with short-term bullish momentum weakening and frequent pullbacks. The candlestick top shows long upper shadows, indicating heavy selling pressure. The Bollinger Bands are in a narrow range, with low volatility. The current price approaches the middle band from above, and both MA5 and MA10 are below MA50, indicating weak moving averages and an increasing likelihood of a short-term plunge. The short-term RSI remains overbought, but the medium- and long-term RSI have been gradually declining, suggesting a short-term peak for the bulls and clear profit-taking by bullish capital. Although the MACD histogram is positive, the DIF and DEA are both negative, and the histogram is shrinking, indicating that the bullish rebound is gradually ending and may be vulnerable to bearish counterattacks. The KDJ indicator's three lines are in extreme overbought territory, with the J value showing significant divergence, which is typically a sign of a top at higher levels. Market active buy-sell ratio is weak (0.62), and the high proportion of large holders is not driving a new wave of buying; instead, it suggests that short-term volatility may be intense or that active profit-taking risks are increasing. If the primary support S1 around 4555 is broken, the short-term will test the lower Bollinger band and the previous low near 4530. It is recommended to mainly enter short positions at higher levels with a stop-loss above 4585, targeting the 4530-4560 range. Overall, the recommendation is to remain cautious; aggressive traders may consider light short positions. If the price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band, timely profit-taking is advised. Emphasis should be placed on risk control to avoid repeated losses caused by significant volatility.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(82.3808) rsi12(71.1004) rsi14(57.6036)
  • MACD:dif(-7.5265) dea(-11.8069) macd(8.5608)
  • MA:ma5(4567.33) ma10(4567.33) ma20(4565.24)
  • Boll:up(4608.63) mid(4565.24) down(4521.85)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8594735.846 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.16%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5113
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 25, 2025 11:35

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd2935

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.