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Binance ETHUSDT 10m Trend Prediction

Aug 10, 2025 05:37
10m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4191-4215

Mark Price

4229.33

Actual Price

4227.4

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.224566, with the price near the lower band, and the bandwidth narrowing, increasing the risk of a downward break.
  • MACD value is -3.20, with DIF and DEA both negative and declining, indicating bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is 46.27, RSI12 is only 35.34, RSI14 is 39.13, all below 50, suggesting short-term overselling but no reversal signals.
  • The KDJ lines are all at low levels, with J at 35.02 showing a slight rebound yet without a confirmed golden cross; the recovery signal is weak.
  • The moving averages are arranged as MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50, and the price remains suppressed by MA20 and above, indicating a bearish moving average system.
  • DMI indicators show dmi_minus at 25.89 far exceeding dmi_plus at 10.20, with ADX at 27.24, suggesting a strong bearish trend.
  • While large holders' long and short positions are relatively skewed (ratio 3.1254), the active buy-sell ratio is as high as 1.73, indicating short-term chasing of gains and losses with no signs of sustained large capital accumulation supported by insufficient buying strength in the order book.
  • Volume and candlestick patterns show a retreat from short-term highs, market sentiment weakening, and volume breakout without sustained buy-in support.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The Bollinger Bands are contracting with the price close to the lower band, indicating diminished market volatility and susceptibility to unilateral capital shocks. Currently, percent_b is 0.22, suggesting a short-term tendency for the price to probe below the Bollinger lower band. MACD is significantly negative and continues to decline, reflecting short-term bearish dominance in the market. No signs of divergence or reversal are apparent, indicating a pure technical bearish trend. Multi-cycle RSI values are all below 50, particularly in the short to medium term (RSI12 and RSI14 both between 30-40), indicating current market sentiment is weak with no signs of stabilization or recovery. The KDJ indicators remain at low levels, with the J value showing a slight uptick, but the K and D lines have not confirmed this development, requiring further confirmation. The moving averages are arranged in a clear bearish pattern, with the price facing resistance at MA20 and MA50. This pattern typically suggests potential further declines following a pause or stabilization. The DMI indicates a dominant negative trend, with ADX > 25, signifying that the downward trend is reliable and primarily driven by major short positions. Although large holders' long positions constitute a high proportion and active buy-sell ratio is relatively strong, the funding rate remains low at only 0.00009049. No significant buy-up momentum is evident. Overall, volume and price are decreasing, with speculative activity contributing primarily, making it difficult to reverse the main trend. Support level S1 at 4191 is likely to be tested in the short term. Without an increase in buy volume, there is a risk of breaking below S1 to test the S2 zone around 4152. If the rebound faces resistance at MA20/MA10 without effective breakout, the upside may be limited. Overall judgment indicates a high probability of short-term decline toward the 4191-4215 range. If the consolidation with reduced volume cannot break through key resistance levels, further weakness may continue. 操作上切忌盲目抄底,需等待信号明确再布局,短线多头高风险。

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(46.2759) rsi12(35.3419) rsi14(39.1314)
  • MACD:dif(-6.3091) dea(-4.7078) macd(-3.2027)
  • MA:ma5(4228.75) ma10(4228.75) ma20(4241.71)
  • Boll:up(4264.16) mid(4241.71) down(4219.26)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6400502.854 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.19%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9775
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 10, 2025 05:37

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd2413

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.