Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4191-4215
Mark Price
4229.33
Actual Price
4227.4
Prediction Result
The Bollinger Bands are contracting with the price close to the lower band, indicating diminished market volatility and susceptibility to unilateral capital shocks. Currently, percent_b is 0.22, suggesting a short-term tendency for the price to probe below the Bollinger lower band. MACD is significantly negative and continues to decline, reflecting short-term bearish dominance in the market. No signs of divergence or reversal are apparent, indicating a pure technical bearish trend. Multi-cycle RSI values are all below 50, particularly in the short to medium term (RSI12 and RSI14 both between 30-40), indicating current market sentiment is weak with no signs of stabilization or recovery. The KDJ indicators remain at low levels, with the J value showing a slight uptick, but the K and D lines have not confirmed this development, requiring further confirmation. The moving averages are arranged in a clear bearish pattern, with the price facing resistance at MA20 and MA50. This pattern typically suggests potential further declines following a pause or stabilization. The DMI indicates a dominant negative trend, with ADX > 25, signifying that the downward trend is reliable and primarily driven by major short positions. Although large holders' long positions constitute a high proportion and active buy-sell ratio is relatively strong, the funding rate remains low at only 0.00009049. No significant buy-up momentum is evident. Overall, volume and price are decreasing, with speculative activity contributing primarily, making it difficult to reverse the main trend. Support level S1 at 4191 is likely to be tested in the short term. Without an increase in buy volume, there is a risk of breaking below S1 to test the S2 zone around 4152. If the rebound faces resistance at MA20/MA10 without effective breakout, the upside may be limited. Overall judgment indicates a high probability of short-term decline toward the 4191-4215 range. If the consolidation with reduced volume cannot break through key resistance levels, further weakness may continue. 操作上切忌盲目抄底,需等待信号明确再布局,短线多头高风险。
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 10, 2025 05:37
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd2413
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.