Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
4141-4170
Mark Price
4167.14
Actual Price
4174.38
Prediction Result
The current ETHUSDT price at 4167.14 is in an obvious downtrend, with technical indicators all indicating bearishness. From the moving average system, the price is below all major moving averages, forming a bearish alignment. MA5 (4174.15), MA10 (4180.45), and MA20 (4188.84) all serve as resistance levels above the current price. The RSI indicators are collectively oversold, with RSI6 at only 19.92; although there is a technical rebound demand, RSI14 at 37.27 remains in a weak zone, indicating that the downtrend has not yet ended. The MACD indicator is entirely below the zero line, with a large negative gap between DIF and DEA, and the red histograms are continuously enlarging, confirming strong downward momentum. An effective reversal is unlikely in the short term. In the KDJ indicator, the J line at 11.19 is far below the K line at 29.09 and the D line at 38.04; this extreme divergence typically signals further decline. Support and resistance analysis shows that an important support level S1 at 4141.17—this will be a key test area in the short term. If it breaks below, a further test of S2 at 4009.11 may occur. Exchange data shows an active buy-sell ratio of 0.3851, which is low, indicating stronger selling pressure than buying. The bullish and bearish account ratio of 0.8720 also shows that short positions are predominant. Although the large traders’ long-short positions ratio of 3.0759 indicates a bias toward long positions, this may reflect trapped longs; combined with price movement and technical indicators, the short-term probability of decline is high. It is expected that the price will continue to fall toward the 4141-4170 range. Investors should operate cautiously, wait for clear signs of stabilization before considering bottom-fishing. Implement strict stop-loss measures to control risk.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Aug 09, 2025 13:55
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd2389
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.