Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
4160-4175
Mark Price
4179.33
Actual Price
4171.1
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a pronounced short-term correction phase. Bollinger Band analysis shows that the price is below the middle band, and the bandwidth is only 0.007913, indicating narrowing volatility, with the price tending to approach the lower band at 4175.08. In terms of momentum indicators, the RSI is in oversold territory across all periods but has not yet formed a clear divergence; the MACD shows a clear dead cross, suggesting insufficient short-term rebound momentum. The KDJ indicator's J line continues downward, confirming bearish momentum. The directional movement indicator DMI clearly shows that bearish strength dominates, with DI- being 2.5 times DI+, and the ADX at 26.96 indicating that the current trend possesses a certain strength. From the moving average system perspective, the price has broken below the short-term MAs MA5 and MA10, although it remains above the medium- and long-term MA20, but short-term correction pressure is evident. Support and resistance level analysis: the current price is near the first support level S1 at 4141.17, with an expectation to find support in the 4160-4175 range. Market sentiment: the active buy-sell ratio of 0.6772 indicates heavy selling pressure. The long-short account ratio of 0.8776 slightly leans bearish, but large-cap holdings show a long bias with a long-short position ratio of 3.09, implying significant capital may be accumulating at lower levels. Trading strategy advice: in the short term, the price is expected to retreat to the 4160-4175 range for support. It is recommended to wait for stabilization signals in this zone before considering light long positions. Set stop-loss below 4155, aiming for resistance near 4190. Risk warning: if the support at 4160 is broken, the price may further decline toward 4141 or even around 4009. Given the current oversold state, any rebound should be approached with caution to avoid premature bottom fishing.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Aug 09, 2025 13:40
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd2385
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.