Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3980-4020
Mark Price
4011.35
Actual Price
4007.15
Prediction Result
Comprehensive analysis of the current ETHUSDT market data indicates a clear downward correction trend. From the candlestick chart, it can be observed that the price has begun to retreat from around 4050, with current levels at approximately 4011. Regarding technical indicators, the MACD is fully negative, demonstrating a market dominated by bears. Although the RSI6 has reached an overbought level of 70.76, this often signals a lack of momentum for further decline during a downtrend. The moving average system shows that the price has broken below MA20 and MA50, remaining slightly above MA5, indicating weak short-term support. The Bollinger Bands reveal that prices are approaching the lower band, with a bandwidth of 0.007641, which is relatively narrow and suggests a possible breakout below the band. The DMI indicator strongly indicates that the bearish force is prevailing, with DI- almost 2.5 times DI+, and the ADX exceeding 30 confirms trend strength. This constitutes a strong bearish signal. From a capital perspective, although the large account long-short ratio of 3.1585 suggests a slightly bullish sentiment, the active buy-sell ratio of 1.1092 is not particularly strong. Additionally, the ratio of long to short accounts at 0.8205, below 1, indicates cautious retail trader sentiment. Support and resistance analysis shows that the first support level S1 is at 3940.23, which may serve as a short-term target point. Given the current technical setup, prices are likely to test this zone. Trading volume data indicates a 24-hour volume of 6,112,489.02, which is relatively normal. However, considering the consistent bearish signals from the technical indicators, it is expected that prices will continue to decline in the short term. Trading strategy recommendation: consider opening a light short position at the current level, targeting the 3980-4020 range. The stop-loss should be set above 4050, near the previous high. Risk control should be vigilant as RSI6 is high, so be cautious of potential short-term rebounds, although the overall trend favors further downside.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Aug 09, 2025 00:08
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd2342
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.