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Binance ETHUSDT 10m Trend Prediction

Jul 27, 2025 09:58
10m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3745-3760

Mark Price

3760.62

Actual Price

3773.08

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band %B is 0.091, with the price near the lower band, indicating short-term weakness and an easy test of lower support levels.
  • The MACD line is entirely negative, with dif and dea both below zero, and the MACD histogram at -1.67, indicating dominant downside momentum.
  • RSI6 and RSI14 are both below 40, showing a relatively weak short-term trend with no signs of oversold rebounds.
  • KDJ indicators are in a low zone, with K, D, J lines all around 40, demonstrating weak market oscillation downward.
  • Negative DMI (dmi_minus 31.16) significantly exceeds positive DMI (dmi_plus 11.65), and ADX is at 19.9, reflecting a more active bearish stance but not with extremely strong momentum.
  • Prices are below MA5, MA10, and MA20, each breached successively, indicating significant short-term downward pressure.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.2979, with very weak active buyers signaling a bearish outlook; however, accounts and large traders’ positions are slightly leaning long, suggesting some low-position battles, but overall, the technical weakness dominates.
  • Amplitude and volatility are extremely low, limiting rebound potential and increasing the likelihood of testing support at S1 (3750.05).
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a short-term weak structure, dominated by negative MACD values, with Bollinger Band %B extremely low, indicating the price is close to the lower band and prone to further downward testing. The moving average system MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all in a bearish alignment, with prices consistently below the moving averages, facing layered resistance on rebounds, and short-term buying momentum is insufficient. Short-term momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ are both in the weak market zone, indicating that bullish rebound strength is lacking; a slight rebound cannot be ruled out, but the greater probability is testing the lower short-term support levels (3750) and possibly lower (3745). The DMI indicator is dominated by bears (dmi_minus approximately three times dmi_plus), but the ADX is below 25, showing that the decline, while persistent, is not absolutely extreme; the downward momentum may ease but reversal is unlikely. Active buy orders are very low, suggesting current market liquidity is mainly passive selling; despite a large trading volume, the lack of proactive participation indicates a high probability of continued decline. In terms of support and resistance levels, S1 (3750.05) is the primary support. If broken, the price may test around 3745; resistance above is at MA20 (3766.81) and R3 (3783.62), with limited rebound space. From a chip perspective, large traders’ accounts and positions are slightly leaning towards the long side, mainly forming a bottom but insufficient to drive a rebound; overall, it’s advisable to follow the trend and sell short, targeting the 3745-3760 range, with potential profit targets moving downward if short-term support is broken. In summary, short-term trading should primarily follow the trend and go short, avoiding chasing the top; do not blindly buy on rebounds unless MACD and RSI show bottom divergence or there is a significant reversal in active funds, otherwise maintaining a cautious bearish outlook.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(38.7725) rsi12(36.7161) rsi14(38.0219)
  • MACD:dif(-2.9733) dea(-2.1363) macd(-1.6738)
  • MA:ma5(3762.39) ma10(3762.39) ma20(3766.81)
  • Boll:up(3774.92) mid(3766.81) down(3758.7)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3152343.829 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.09%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.1983
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 27, 2025 09:58

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd1875

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.