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Binance ETHUSDC 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 30, 2025 05:15
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3765-3820

Mark Price

3790.75

Actual Price

3808.7

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 3790.75 is within the middle to lower Bollinger Bands, with Percent B at only 0.376, showing no breakout signs.
  • RSI6 stands at 12.14, indicating severe overselling; RSI14 and RSI24 are near 50, with some downward momentum released but lacking rebound strength.
  • MACD at -3.55, with DIF and DEA both positive but diverging downward, showing short-term weakness.
  • KDJ J-value is at -9.06; K and D are both low, indicating technical oversold condition but insufficient rebound momentum.
  • Short-term MA arrangement: MA5 and MA10 are below MA20 and MA200; MA200 exerts resistance from above.
  • Active funds' funding rate is positive but very low; active buy-sell ratio of 0.8865 suggests cautious short-term trading.
  • Large-cap long-short positions remain high, indicating some defensive support at the bottom; overall market remains calm without panic.
  • Amplitude and ATR are limited; ADX is only 17.59, indicating low volatility and no trending expansion.
  • Support and resistance zones between 3765-3820 are recent price congestion areas; unless volume increases significantly for a breakout, expect continued sideways movement within 15 minutes.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The short-term ETHUSDC is already within the middle to lower Bollinger Bands of the past 400 15-minute K-lines, with the last three rebounds all showing insufficient volume. Indicators show that the short-term cycle has entered oversold territory again, but upward momentum lacks volume-price coordination. The MA5 and MA10 are turning downward and have failed to break above the MA20 and MA200 resistance levels, with the moving averages in a bearish arrangement compressing the rebound space. RSI6 is at an extreme low, indicating the downward momentum release is ending but rebound confidence is insufficient; RSI14/24 are both approaching 50 with no clear trend guidance. MACD and KDJ are both in a weak zone; the KDJ intraday selling pressure is initially easing, but the short-term J-value remains very low, requiring new trigger-driven incremental buying for short-term recovery. Active fund ratio and trading volume are generally stable; the number of long and short accounts are relatively balanced, but the active buying and selling ratio does not show a significant bias. The funding rate is extremely low, indicating the market is currently observing and cautious. Resistance zone is at 3820-3836 (from the middle to the upper Bollinger Band), with support at 3765-3750, primarily oscillating within this range. A trend move requires volume activation or breakthrough of key support/resistance levels. Currently, there are no signs of a imminent single-sided market shift. Trading recommendation: within the oscillation range, adopt a light position for high sell and low buy; avoid chasing gains or panic selling. If the short-term rebound stalls around 3820, consider short-term profit-taking. If the support at 3765 is broken, focus on the secondary support at 3750/3729. Aggressive traders may attempt small long positions if there is a significant volume increase accompanied by bullish divergence in KDJ and MACD bottom signals. Overall, ETHUSDC has repeatedly attempted to rebound over the past period but has not effectively stabilized above the Bollinger middle band; upper resistance remains heavy, while the oversold technical condition below suggests short-term operation within the 3765-3820 range with sideways movement. Risk warning: monitor sudden high-volume movements, news impacts, or BTC volatility affecting ETH linkage. If a 5-minute volume spike crosses any Bollinger Band boundary, it may indicate a market reversal, requiring prompt strategy adjustment.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(12.1459) rsi12(32.9341) rsi14(48.4825)
  • MACD:dif(6.9948) dea(8.7688) macd(-3.5481)
  • MA:ma5(3808.06) ma10(3808.06) ma20(3799.76)
  • Boll:up(3836.4) mid(3799.76) down(3763.11)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:1120744.284 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.23%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2878
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 30, 2025 05:15

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdc-15m-forecast-2025-upd1946

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.