Deepredict
Binance BTCUSDT 6h Trend Prediction
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
111850-114000
Mark Price
115107.5
Actual Price
114987.7
Prediction Result
Analysis Basis:
- BTC current price is near the lower Bollinger Band, with Bollinger %b at only 0.043806, indicating a short-term weak zone.
- Multi-timeframe RSI values are in oversold or weak conditions: RSI6 is 20.93, RSI12 is 22.10, RSI14 is 32.48, all below typical rebound levels.
- MACD lines are both below the zero axis, with diff and macd values negative, indicating persistent downward momentum.
- KDJ lines are at low levels with J-value very low at 14.40, showing weak oscillation and lack of short-term rebound power.
- DMI shows negative values exceeding positive (dmi_minus at 33.43, dmi_plus at 18.39), and ADX remains low, indicating a dominant downward trend with no strong trend but a bearish advantage.
- Active buy-sell ratio is 0.8426, reflecting weak buying force and market predominance of selling.
- Bullish accounts are significantly larger than bearish ones, but the high long-short ratio in large accounts suggests profit-taking and an increased probability of volume-driven declines.
- Intraday amplitude is -2.166, indicating short-term inertial downtrend.
BTCUSDT current price is operating within the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with overall weak oscillation. The lower Bollinger Band and support level S1 (111850) are approaching, indicating potential for further downward pressure in the short-term. Multi-timeframe RSI is below 30, indicating a strongly oversold region. Although there is a technical rebound demand in the short term, the overall momentum is weak. Bulls lack effective stabilization signals, casting doubt on the sustainability of the rebound. Both MACD and KDJ indicators are at low levels, suggesting short-term capital is gradually retreating, weakening market confidence. Although volume has not dramatically expanded, the downside trading volume (108 billion) still shows significant accumulation, indicating weak rebound strength. DMI indicators are predominantly negative, with a weak trend but a continued downward trend. The ADX is below 20, further confirming an unclear trend but maintaining a bearish dominance. Although large accounts hold majority long positions, the long-short ratio in retail accounts is inadequate. Active capital lacks the capacity to support an upward push. Currently, the price is in a state of ineffective rebound, dominated by bears after a main upward wave, with weak oscillation and downward drift. Support levels to watch are S1 (111850). If breached, the next support is S2 (108429). If a short-term rebound occurs, resistance levels are around MA5 (117298); however, the rebound potential is limited. In the next 6 hours, the market is highly likely to continue weak downward movement. It is recommended to reduce positions at high levels and mainly exit during rebounds. Focus on defending rebound resistance levels. Trading advice: Do not rush to bottom fish at this time. Only after clear technical oversold rebound signals emerge should a long position be considered. Stop-loss should be around S1; if volume increases and price breaks below this level, maintaining current positions is not advisable.
Technical Indicators Analysis
- RSI:rsi6(20.9337) rsi12(22.1002) rsi14(32.4849)
- MACD:dif(-481.6684) dea(-145.2025) macd(-672.9316)
- MA:ma5(117298.22) ma10(117298.22) ma20(118697.69)
- Boll:up(122649.95) mid(118697.69) down(114745.44)
Market Indicators
- Volume:92675.983 (24h)
- Volatility:0.66%
- Long/Short Ratio:1.3375
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 18, 2025 03:45
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-6h-forecast-2025-upd2791
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.